Volcano Cycles

40 Year Cycle Volcano Eruption
By Eric S Hadik

2014–2017 (–2023) Volcano Cycles

The eruption of Mt. Tambora (Indonesia) in 1815 and the ensuing Year without a Summer caused a devastating global food crisis in 1816–1819 – and what would later be recognized as the worst famine of the 1800’s.  But Tambora was not an isolated event.  There was synergy in pyroclastic events in the 1810’s, with multiple volcanoes erupting over a 3-5 year period.

[This is one of the most important principles in the markets and in all of life – synergyThe whole is greater than the sum of its parts.  A cord of three strands is not easily broken, etc.]

Just as related volcanoes have done in 2010–2013, Tambora went into a period of high activity in 1812 before experiencing its biggest eruption in 1815.  It then maintained activity into 1819.  Simultaneously, major eruptions took place in 1812 – at La Soufriere in Caribbean & Awu in Indonesia, in 1813 – at Suwanosejima in Japan, & in 1814 – at Mayon in Philippines.  It was a very shaky and explosive time on earth… and not just with volcanoes.

In case you didn’t notice the geophysical relationship, this is the same period (late-1811 into 1812) in which the US was dealing with the catastrophic series of 4 New Madrid Fault earthquakes in the middle of the country (Dec. 1811–Feb. 1812) – causing a dramatic shift in the course of the Mississippi River and decimating towns along that river.  Tectonic shocks were occurring on a regular basis and reverberating throughout the Earth.  That phenomenon is NOT unusual and has unfolded many times.

And, as just mentioned, the 2010’s hold many parallels to the 1810’s and were projected to begin with major quakes in Chile & Japan.  Some of this analysis can be found in the following 2009 & early-2010 reports that detailed why uncanny cycles predicted (and were published months and even years before the corroborating events) a major earthquake in Chile for 2010 and a major quake in Japan for 2011.

When these quakes occurred – right on cyclic schedule – it powerfully reinforced volcanic cycles that are forecast to ‘kick into high gear’, beginning in 2014 – cycles that have been recognized and described for a decade!  The second, and more intense, phase of these cycles should take hold in 2018 – with Major volcano & earth disturbance cycles colliding in 2019 & 2020.

To begin this period, Mediterranean volcano cycles (Italy, Greece, etc.) and Japanese volcano cycles have their greatest synergy beginning in 2014 (although the cycles extend for several years beyond then).  And, there are related Indonesian volcano cycles that also converge in 2014–2015.  But, that is a separate discussion.  There is also a unique convergence of related cycles that impact N. American volcanoes (primarily the Cascadian Range) in 2015–2017.

It has been almost 320 years – 8 of the 40-Year Cycles – since the 1700, 9.0 Cascadia earthquake rocked the Pacific Northwest.  2020 will mark an exact 320 years.

1700 is also when the Tseax Cone volcano in BC Canada last erupted (the 15th deadliest eruption in history).  Midway through that 320-year period – in 1857 – was the culmination of the last truly active period for Cascadian Volcanoes – with 9 of them erupting between early-1800 and 1857.

Not surprisingly, 1857 is also the date of the true ‘Big One’ in California, the 7.9 Ft. Tejon earthquake of Jan. 9, 1857 – one of the strongest recorded quakes on the US mainland.  It is also intriguing that the most devastating solar storm on record – the 1859 Carrington Event – occurred in this same narrow window of time.

Here again, it is the identification of ‘Swarm Cycles’ that helps distinguish the truly authentic cycles.  That 160-year period – from peak tectonic activity to peak tectonic activity – comes back into play in 2015–2020.  [2019 is also an amazing convergence of 17-Year Cycles connecting three of the largest volcanic eruptions of the past 200 years… and predicting a 4th for 2019.  That is discussed separately.]

And, of course, an exact 40-Year Cycle from the eruption of Mt. St. Helens – in 1980 – also focuses on 2020 as the peak of the next phase.

But, overall, there is a ~40-Year Cycle – what I usually call a ‘Swarm Cycle’ – when many of the largest and/or most destructive or deadly volcanoes erupt.

This 40-Year Volcanic Swarm Cycle occurred in 1774–1783, 1814–1823, 1854–1863, 1894–1903, 1934-1943 & 1974–1983.

These previous phases included the Grimsvotn & Laki Volcanoes (that killed 25% of the corresponding Icelandic population and ultimately was blamed for 6 million deaths worldwide, including about 1 million in Japan and 1 million in France), Tambora & the corresponding eruptions, a series of deadly volcanoes in Guatemala, Martinique, St. Vincent & the Philippines at the turn of the (19/20th) century, Mt. St. Helens & El Chicon in the early-1980’s and many other major eruptions.

This 40-Year Volcanic Swarm Cycle is back in 2014–2023 and events in Indonesia are already looking eerily similar to the 1810’s.  This includes an intensifying & accelerating series of eruptions at Sinabung, as well as renewed activity at Tambora and other volcanoes spread along that massive archipelago in South Asia.  Specific Philippine volcanoes are similar and other global volcanoes are screaming (or spewing) for attention.

[It has been a little over 400 years – a larger phase of the 40-Year Cycle – since a catastrophic eruption in S. Peru – Huaynaputina – in the early-1600’s caused the coldest temps in the N. Hemisphere in over 500 years.  It also triggered the devastating Russia Famine of the early-1600’s.  So, the early-2000’s are 200 & 400 years from momentous, climate-changing eruptions on our planet.]

There is a lot more to this, much of which has been detailed in previous articles and publications.  The noteworthy point here is that many of these eruptions have triggered sharp, reactive moves in agricultural and even financial markets over the past 200 years.  Will 2014–2023 see more of the same?  Do Food Crises Cycles – that take hold in 2016/2017 and could intensify into 2021 – have any correlation??

For more specific analysis on many grains, livestock and other foodstuffs, please visit www.insiidetrack.com.  Many markets – both agricultural & financial – are pinpointing a future time frame when some form of major disruption is likely.  The 40-Year Cycle has already proven its applicability in the 2010’s, so corresponding expectations are being monitored even more closely.

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