Stocks Fulfilling Strong Advances. Leading into 1Q 2017 Cycle Peak. March/April 2017 = Decision Time! 12/24/16 Weekly Re-Lay: “Stock Indices are in the latter stages of the 4th ‘1–2 month strong advance’ interspersed among 4 ‘1–3 month sharp declines’ that were expected, since early-2015, to comprise an overall 15–18 month topping process in the Indices. The 3 preceding advances ranged between 1.5–2.5 months, so this 4th one […]Read more
March/April ’17 Danger Period Nears. Stocks Poised for 1Q 2017 Peak. Final Rally Still Possible After Early-Jan. 12/21/16 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “Stock Indices remain strong following the fulfillment of their latest 5-month low-low Cycle Progression in Nov. 2016. Once again, that 1–3 month decline (Aug.–Nov. 2016) gave way to a strong 1–2 month rally. This is expected to be the final phase of that ~1–2 year […]Read more
Stocks Remain in Bullish Phase. Nov. ’16 Cycle Low in Force. 1Q 2017 = Culmination Cycles. 12/14/16 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “Stock Indices remain strong following the fulfillment of their latest 5-month low-low Cycle Progression in Nov. 2016. As has been the case for the past 15–18 months, that 1–3 month decline (Aug.–Nov. 2016) gave way to a strong 1–2 month rally. This, however, is expected […]Read more
Stocks Enter Transition Period. Dec. ’16–May ’17 = Topping Phase. Early-Jan. Low Could Corroborate. 12/10/16 Weekly Re-Lay: “Stock Indices have rallied since fulfilling multi-month cycles projecting a low in Nov. 2016 (linked to previous lows in Jan. & Jun. 2016, as well as Aug. ’15 & Oct. ‘14). At the same time, they are entering a multi-month/multi-quarter period (Dec. ’16–May ’17) when a convergence […]Read more
Stocks Diverging in Short-Term. Early-Jan. = Next Cycle Low; Could Trigger Rally into Feb./March 2017. 12/07/16 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “Stock Indices are increasing their divergence as the DJIA accelerates to higher highs while the Nasdaq 100 remains below its Nov. 29thhigh (which was below its Oct. 25th high). The S+P 500 joined the DJIA after it began the month by pulling back to […]Read more
Stocks Poised for Multi-Week Top. Early-Jan. = Next Cycle Low; Final Peaks Expected in 1Q (March?) 2017. 12/03/16 Weekly Re-Lay: “Stock Indices are entering the period when a convergence of multi-year cycles turn bearish at the same time. The two largest cycles in this analysis – the 40-Year Cycle & the 17-Year Cycle – will remain bearish into early-2018. The 40-Year Cycle entered a topping phase in early-2015 and […]Read more
Decennial Cycle Poised to Impact Stocks; 3Q 2017 Ushers in Bearish Period… 8.5-Year Cycle Corroborates. 11/29/16 INSIIDE Track: Global Decennial Cycle – The ’7’ (& ‘8’) Year Panics 1857 – Panic of 1857 1907/1908 – Panic of 1907 (Oct.) AKA – Banker’s Panic, Knickerbocker Crisis (50% drop in NYSE) 1917 – Stock crash – 40% drop from late-Nov. 1916 into […]Read more
11/21/16 – OPEC Freeze? Oil Cycles? Dollar’s Finale Before Sell-off.
Jim asks Eric about rumors of a coming OPEC oil production cut. Eric discusses his outlook for Crude & Energy Markets that continues to project a lengthy bottoming process and no sustained advances in the foreseeable future. That leads into discussing the US Dollar’s impact on oil…
Jim asks Eric about Election results and the markets’ reactions. Eric reiterates analysis provided in March 2016, when he described how Dollar cycles – projecting a major Dollar peak in late-2016/early-2017 – were arguing for a Republican Administration to be elected in 2016. That should usher in a new wave down in the US Dollar.
Consistent with that analysis, Eric also discusses Gold cycles that continue to project a secondary low in late-2016 – closely coinciding with the time for a potential Dollar peak. He emphasizes the uncanny influence of the 40-Year & 80-Year Cycle and why that should begin to stress the Dollar and then also impact equity markets (in 2017–2019).