2016 Interest Rate Outlook on Track

05/31/16 INSIIDE Track:

“Bonds & Notes remain positive (in weekly & intra-year uptrends) and still on track for a Major high when larger-degree cycles converge – in xxx xxxx [Refer to June 2016 INSIIDE Track for specific cycles & outlook for Bonds, Notes & Interest Rates.]  In between now and then, a lot of volatility is expected.

On an intermediate basis, Bonds & Notes fulfilled the potential for a multi-month low in mid-March – the latest phase of a ~9-month low (Dec. ’13)–low (Sept. ’14)–low (June ’15)–low (Mar. ’16) Cycle Progression – and projections for a subsequent peak on May 11–16th. 

In doing so, however, Bonds & Notes began to swing the pendulum in favor of creating another intermediate high (not a low) in mid-to-late-June – perpetuating a consistent 6-month/~180-degree low-low-low-low-low-(high) Cycle Progression. 

That would also complete back-to-back-to-back, ~90-degree (13–14 week) advances & perpetuate a ~4-month low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression… while completing 360 degree moves from the June ‘15 & June ‘14 lows.   

Today’s outside-day reversal triggered a short-term buy signal that should trigger a quick surge to begin the month. These cycles could also be hinting that a brief ‘flight-to-quality’ is possible in mid-June – if/when global Indices enter a new sell-off.”

Bonds & Notes continue to corroborate the outlook for longer-term interest rates for the coming years.  The next 3–6 months are CRUCIAL in that regard, poised to provide powerful validation to this analysis… and reinforce what could plague the US economy in the coming years.