Stocks Fulfilling 17-Year Cycle Projections for 2025 Plunge! Reinforce Outlook for 2Q ’25.

03/29/25 – “2025 is already validating, confirming, and/or fulfilling a great deal of related 17-Year Cycle analysis.  That unique cycle is intimately connected to the magnetic swings in the Sun, Earth and the geomagnetic oscillations between the two… impacting mass emotional & psychological swings on our planet.

While this is not the type of cycle that one can typically use to trade a specific market, it does provide a powerful foundation on which to formulate related expectations.

For the past 2 – 3 years, INSIIDE Track has described why 4Q 2024 (17 years from 4Q 2007) should usher in a major peak in stock indexes and lead to 20 – 50% declines in various stocks in 2025.

INSIIDE Track also described – in great detail – why 2025/2026 was a VERY likely time (with 90+% historical accuracy) for the next major recession.

Along with that, INSIIDE Track detailed why this next recession was cyclically very likely to include ’stagflation’ – the worst of both worlds (economic retrenchment but inflating commodity prices).

All of that was detailed long before the past 2 – 3 months, when the mainstream media – including economists – suddenly started discussing both.

INSIIDE Track also described a unique 17-Year Cycle correlation to earth disturbance swarms and volcanic eruption cycles that are most likely to emerge in 2025 – 2027.

Recent events – coinciding with the start of a new Natural Year (the time when natural shifts routinely occur) – could be signaling the onset of that expected instability.

A Rus’ by Any Other Name

The 17-Year Cycle impacts many aspects of life… as it well should.  That impact is usually heightened when mass psychology is involved – financial, social or geopolitical.  That is why it is no surprise it has continued to pinpoint significant shifts involving Russia – in its pre, mid, and post-USSR history.

For now, let’s just examine the last ~century and some uncanny parallels to the past ~decade:

1906 – Russian Constitution of 1906 establishes monarchy (following Russo/Japanese War as well as Bloody Sunday Massacre & Russian Revolution of 1905… which lasted until 1907).

1923 – Russian Civil War ends with Red Army victorious; USSR origin.

1940 – USSR invades Latvia, Lithuania & Estonia (on June 22, 1941, Germany invaded USSR).

1957 – Oct 4, 1957 – Sputnik I launched into orbit (Oct 4, 2025 = 68 years later); middle of Soviet nuclear tests in 1956 – 1958 (9 in 1956, 16 in 1957, 36 in 1958, 57 in 1961).  Ushers in 17-Year Cycle of peak ‘competition’ between US & USSR.

1974 – Moscow Summit (June 28-July 1) following Yom Kippur War of 1973 when US & USSR came close to direct conflict; Nixon addresses Soviet citizens on July 2, 1974.  Culmination of 17-Year Cycle of peak US/USSR adversarial relationship.

1991 – Dissolution of USSR – Dec 26, 1991.

2008 – Russian invasion of Georgia; Begins 17 Year Cycle of new Russian ‘expansion’ by invading neighbors and trying to reform USSR.

2025 – End of new expansion?  Shift of expansion?  New détente?? [reserved for subscribers]…

Stock Indices plunged into late-March ’25, fulfilling a myriad of cycles and downside wave & price targets as they steadily confirm the latest phase of the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Peaks.

While the overall decline could stretch out for 6 – 12 months (or longer), the first major decline was forecast to last into late-March/early-April with the S+P Midcap 400 leading the way.

That was the index that helped project a sharp surge in Oct/Nov ’24. 

That was the index that helped project a 3 – 6-month (or longer) peak on Nov 22/25, 2024. 

That index precisely fulfilled that outlook and peaked on Nov 25th, along with the Russell 2000 & DJTA… and a myriad of related stocks.

It was then the index that helped project a secondary multi-month peak for January 22/23rd and a subsequent plunge into the week of March 10 – 14, ’25.

As described and illustrated since Nov & Dec ‘24, the S+P Midcap was forecast to see an initial drop to ~3125/IDX and an overall drop to ~2850/IDX, leading into March/April cycle lows…

The March 28th action has powerfully reinforced this outlook and sets the stage for a final spike low… While the shorter-term analysis will be detailed in Weekly Re-Lay publications, it is critical to keep focus on the potential for another wave down after a multi-week bounce has transpired.

An initial low in March/April ‘25 would fulfill the convergence of multiple cycles & Cycle Progressions that includes an 18/19-month low-low-(low) Cycle Progression, a 2-Year Cycle (DJIA peaked in late-Nov ’22 & sold off into March ’23) and an annual cycle that timed intra-year lows during the month of March in 2020, 2023 & 2024.

6 – 12 month & 1 – 2 year traders and investors should remain out of [reserved for subscribers].”   TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK


Stock Indexes peaked on March 25/26th – during multi-week & multi-month cycle highs and right at pivotal 1 – 2 week resistance levels – and remain on track for lower lows in early-April ‘25.  This is confirmation of a broader stock market (seismic) shift – validating weekly trend and multi-month 4-Shadow signals triggered in January and corresponding sell signals triggered on/after January 22/23rd.  A drop into April would reinforce July ’25 cycles and fulfill what has been detailed in Weekly Re-Lay analysis:

3-05-25 – “In either case, the stronger focus is on late-March/early-April ’25 – when a more significant low has been projected to take hold… the rising monthly 21 Low MAC is around 2785 and could reach ~2810 in April ’25…. The monthly HLS (extreme downside target for March ’25) is at 2803/IDX.” — March 5, 2025 Weekly Re-Lay Alert

 

What Would Late-March/Early-April Drop Portend for 2Q 2025?

How Low is Next Decline Likely to Fall… and What Will Likely Follow?

Is S+P Midcap Still Likely to Drop Below 2800/IDX in April ‘25?

 

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.