Category: All posts

03-26-26 – “Stock indices have initially fulfilled the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  However, they could still see lower lows – either in late-March or early-April ’26 – in sync with corroborating indicators and cycles… The DJIA has set multi-month lows every 25 – 26 weeks since Oct ’23 and has an overlapping 52-week […]

03-25-26 – 2026 & The Inflation Quagmire – “The price of oil (gasoline) is a tax on almost every basic commodity.  It factors into production (including food & agricultural markets), distribution & shipping.  Normal swings in the price of energy are either absorbed (by the seller), hidden, or passed along outright to the consumer.  Each of those approaches has its own ramifications down the line. In […]

03-21-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a large sell-off in March ’26, following multi-year Cycle Progressions that peaked in Jan/Feb ‘26.  Both the weekly trends & weekly 21 MACs have generated negative (multi-month) signals and could see a pair of lows… before this intermediate decline is complete… Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had […]

03-19-26 – “Stock Indices have fulfilled projections for significant declines into ~mid-March ’26 (that could ultimately stretch into early-April ’26) and are at a pivotal crossroads.  The March 20th weekly close is another key factor in this overall process.  To recap the past few months… The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as […]

03-18-26 – The Rule of Alternation: Stock Market Declines II – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered repeated multi-month declines that mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. Most recently, the early-2020 & early-2024 declines were quick, sharp plunges that were brief. Surrounding those were the […]

03-18-26 – “Stock Indices are fulfilling the outlook for another large sell-off after peaking in lockstep with 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions that had projected – since the April ’25 low – an overall rally into a Jan/Feb ’26 peak, followed by a new sharp decline. The NQ-100 led the related topping process, fulfilling a myriad of timing indicators and Cycle Progressions that pinpointed late-Oct ’25 as the […]

03-14-26 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling the outlook for a much larger sell-off (than seen in recent months)… The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by weekly trends turning down.  An initial low is likely on March 16/17th, particularly if some exhaustive (‘blow-off’) selling is seen… Stock Indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, […]

03-12-26 – “Stock indices fulfilled the latest phase of projected declines, with the S+P 500 testing and initially holding pivotal support at 6636 – 6650/ESM, where the Nov ’25 low and the current week’s LLS (often hit in the week after an HLS is hit) converged.  It initially bottomed at 6631.5/ESM and then bounced to its declining daily 21 Low MAC – a textbook pattern. More significant support is […]

03-11-26 – “Over the past two decades, stock indexes have suffered multiple multi-month sell-offs that have mostly adhered to a version of Elliott’s ‘Rule of Alternation’ – in which successive ‘corrections’ do not usually follow the same corrective pattern. This will be elaborated in a future INSIIDE Track, but consider how the 2015/2016 & 2011 sell-offs contrasted the 2007 – 2009 decline.  Then there was the […]

03-07-26 – “Stock indexes continue to trace out a topping phase that has been led by the NQ-100 (which peaked in late-Oct ’25).  That was/is expected to trigger a much larger sell-off (than what was seen in recent weeks) leading into mid-March ’26, which is currently unfolding.  The weekly 21 MACs are turning down (in DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100) but need to be confirmed by […]