Tag: 17-Year Cycle

01/27/24 – “Stock indexes have rallied since mid-month with the Russell 2000, DJTA and S+P Midcap 400 signaling they could/should rally back to the late-December highs before a new multi-week peak takes hold… Stock Indices remain in positive weekly trends with the Russell 2000 continuing to signal that it should rally back to its December ’23 high… While declining into mid-month and […]

01/24/24 – “Inflation continues to be a driving force behind most of the markets, triggering abrupt reversals or violent swings when unexpected data emerges.  One of the key gauges of commodity inflation – described for several years in these publications – is the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (pictured above). With its heavier weighting in energy markets, the GSCI often mimics the movement in Crude Oil… but there is […]

01/20/24 – “Stock indexes fulfilled divergent expectations with weaker/smaller-cap indexes spiking to new lows and stronger/larger-cap indexes rallying to new highs surrounding mid-month.  The Russell 2000 provided some intriguing signals of an intermediate low and could lead those indexes back up in the coming week(s)… Stock Indices are expanding their divergence with the weaker indexes (DJTA, Russell 2000 & S+P Midcap 400) fulfilling […]

01/13/24 – “Stock indexes have rallied after selling off in the opening days of January but NOT turning their new intra-month trends down.  That pullback occurred after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. Most of the primary indexes sold off long enough, and far enough, to attack monthly support levels but not far […]

01/11/24 – “Stock Indices are mixed after selling off in the opening days of January but NOT turning their new intra-month trends down.  That pullback occurred after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. (That cycle should time a future high in late-February but corresponding specifics for that high are [reserved for subscribers].) The DJTA, Russell […]

01/10/24 – “Stock Indices have rallied after selling off in the opening days of January but NOT turning their new intra-month trends down.  That pullback occurred after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. (That cycle should time a future high in late-February but corresponding specifics for that high are [reserved for subscribers].) Most of the primary […]

01/06/24 – “Stock indexes sold off to begin January, with some indexes testing and holding monthly support levels without turning their new intra-month trends down.  That has the potential to be a positive factor that could spur a rally into mid-January… Stock Indices sold off in the opening days of January after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surge from […]

01/04/24 – “Equities rallied from cycle lows in late-October, initially fulfilling the outlook for overall advances (from late-2022 & early-2023) into Jan/Feb 2024 – when a more significant peak is expected.  3 – 6 month peaks are expected in this time frame as multi-year cycles begin to pave the way for another significant sell-off in 2024/2025… On a 1 – 2 year basis, the DJIA […]

01/04/24 – “Stock Indices have sold off in the opening days of January after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. Some indexes – like the DJIA – set a new high on January 2nd (similar to 2022), initially fulfilling the 2 – 3 month outlook.  That is why the new intra-month trend is a critical filter.  If […]

01/03/24 – “January 2 – 4, 2024 marks the opening range of the month, as well as the opening days (though not the complete opening range) of the quarter and year.  As such, there are certain expectations surrounding these opening days (see page 2 for a couple of those) and what occurs after them. As repeatedly warned, many markets will start a new period […]