Tag: 40-Year Cycle of Currency Wars

11/08/23 – “The Dollar Index plunged to begin November, confirming a secondary high and generating an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower.  That reinforced the outlook for a new decline into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks dn) and fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression. It has already tested monthly support but would not turn the intra-month trend down until […]

11/04/23 – “The Dollar Index confirmed a secondary high and generated an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower – reinforcing the outlook for a new decline into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) and the fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression. While there remain weekly/monthly cycles that return in Jan ’24, it is important to examine key price factors […]

10/31/23 – “Bitcoin & Ether surged after setting another round of divergent lows (higher low in Bitcoin, lower low in Ether) on Oct 11/12, 1 month from the more significant Sept 11, ’23 low. While setting that previous (Sept 11) low, Bitcoin perpetuated a ~3-month low (Mar 10 – 14) – low (Jun 10 – 14) – (low; Sept 10 – 14) Cycle Progression while […]

10/25/23 – “The Dollar Index is turning neutral but would not turn negative – on a 2 – 4 week basis – until a daily close below 105.30/DXZ.  It barely missed doing that even as the cash Dollar Index turned its daily trend down. Both bounced to weekly resistance and their flattening daily 21 High MACs as that average enters a time when it could turn down.  If […]

10/21/23 – “The Dollar Index is turning neutral but would not turn negative – on a 2 – 4 week basis – until a daily close below 105.30/DXZ.  If that occurs, the Dollar could see a new decline lasting into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) and the fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression… Bitcoin & Ether remain […]

10/04/23 – “Bitcoin & Ether are rallying after Bitcoin reversed its daily trend up on Sept 18 and then pulled back to rising daily 21 MAC support while twice neutralizing its new daily uptrend. That was the ideal scenario for a Sept 25 low & reversal higher… Bitcoin also remains in a positive wave setup after pulling back and holding its mid-June low.  That should […]

09/30/23 – “Bitcoin & Ether are rallying after Bitcoin reversed its daily trend up on Sept 18 and then pulled back to rising daily 21 MAC support while twice neutralizing its new daily uptrend.  That was the ideal scenario for a Sept 25 low & reversal higher, which should spur a rally into Oct 9 – 13 – fulfilling a 50% rebound in time and a ~3-month high-high-high Cycle […]

09/29/23 – “Over the last 8 – 10 years, while America has been preoccupied (for or against) with the topic of building walls to keep ‘outsiders’ out, China has been steadily building walls to hem in America’s (and the West’s) global influence and ‘corral’ her into a more confined role in geopolitics. In many cases, America has done a lot of the ‘heavy lifting’ […]

08/12/23 – “The Dollar is rallying into daily & weekly cycles on Aug 14 – 25… as the Euro & Yen decline… Stock Indices are slowly selling off after peaking and reversing lower in late-July/early-August ‘23, turning daily & intra-month trends down as a significant ‘danger period’ began.  A vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23. The DJIA spiked higher on Aug 1/2 – fulfilling a ~1.5-month low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and a […]

08/09/23 – “Stock Indices peaked and reversed lower in late-July/early-August ‘23, turning daily & intra-month trends down as a significant ‘danger period’ began.  That initially validates intermediate cycle highs and the potential for a multi-week sell-off.  A vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23. The DJIA spiked higher on Aug 1/2 – fulfilling a ~1.5-month low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and a series of ~3-month (90-degree) moves from successive highs on Nov 1/2, Feb […]