Tag: 40-Year Cycle of Currency Wars

03/15/25 – “Stock indexes dropped sharply into mid-March with multiple indexes reaching multi-month downside targets while bottoming in sync with daily & weekly cycle lows surrounding March 12/ 13th.  They could still see lower lows in late-March/ early-April and continue to provide intriguing parallels to 2020 and also to 2008 (the previous phase of the 17-Year Cycle)… Bitcoin & Ether fulfilled analysis for sharp sell-offs […]

03/08/25 – “Stock indexes remain on track for overall declines into late-March/early-April as part of a larger setback.  That would provide intriguing parallels to 2020 and also to 2008… the previous phase of the 17-Year Cycle.  In the interim, they were expected to drop into the first part of March – something they have initially fulfilled.  Bonds & Notes peaked in early-March and could see a […]

03/05/25 – “Stock Indices fulfilled 1 – 2 week expectations for a sharp drop from Feb 18/19 – when the S+P 500 & NQ-100 fulfilled their upside objectives & weekly trend targets and signaled a peak – into the opening days of March… when some daily cycles recurred. While that was expected to usher in an initial low, it is not expected to […]

03/01/25 – “Stock indexes remain on track for overall declines into late-March/early-April as part of a larger setback.  While that is based on current cycles & indicators, a drop into late-March would also provide intriguing parallels to 2020 and, of greater import, to 2008… the previous phase of the 17-Year   Cycle.  At that time, the DJIA began with a 15 – 16-week decline into its […]

02/27/25 – “2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last major decline in the stock market (not including the ~2-month Covid plunge of 1Q 2020). 2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the inception of Bitcoin and the move toward decentralized banking. 2025 is two full 17-Year Cycles from the start of the 1990’s bull market in stocks – a run-up that culminated with the dot-com bubble […]

02/22/25 – “The Dollar Index likely set a secondary top after surging to its weekly LHR (weekly extreme upside target at 109.78/DXH) and monthly SPR (109.83/DXH) to begin the month and reversing lower.  It already fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for a multi-month (6 – 12 month) low in late-Sept/ early-Oct ‘24 followed by a rally into mid-January 2025… ushering in a pivotal reversal period. […]

02/20/25 – “From a much broader perspective, there are some unusual (though limited) parallels between the current markets and a key aspect of the 1920’s and a different (key) aspect of the 1990’s.  This was discussed in the Feb 19, ’25 Weekly Re-Lay Alert and will be addressed in the March ’25 INSIIDE Track. Bonds & Notes are tracing out what could be a 3 – 6 […]

02/19/25 – The Roaring ‘20s, the dot-com ‘90’s and… – “While it might only be only one sector of the overall financial markets, there is an unfolding parallel – part 1920’s & part 1990’s – that warrants closer scrutiny in the weeks and months to come. In both previous cases, it was an example of trends getting way overdone.  Another trend is showing signs of stretching […]

02/15/25 – “Bonds & Notes are showing signs of a secondary low and the onset of a new rally.  The Dollar & cryptos are reinforcing multi-week highs as the Euro & Yen validate multi-week lows… Bonds & Notes are tracing out what could be a 3 – 6 month bottom – expected to lead to a contrasting peak in June/July ‘25.  They dropped sharply […]

02/13/25 – “Bitcoin & Ether are reinforcing signs of topping after Bitcoin set its highest daily close on January 21st – 6 months/180 degrees from a previous high daily close (July 22nd) – but did not close above its mid-December (intraday) high, ushering in the potential for a larger-magnitude wave ‘5’ peak in late-2024. It also fulfilled a ~43 – 46-week low-high-high-(high; […]