Tag: 40-Year Cycle

Gold & Silver Setting Stage for 90/10 Rule of Cycles; Late-Aug & Late-Sept ’23 Triggers.

08-09-23 – “Gold & Silver remain in multi-month consolidation phases between their late-Feb/early-March ’23 lows and the subsequent cycle highs set on May 3 – 5.  Those highs fulfilled ~3-month low-high-(high) & ~4-month low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progressions that could create a subsequent (intervening) high in early-Sept ’23. That would perpetuate the ~4-month low-low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression, most notable in Silver.  It would connect the early-May & early-Sept ’22 lows with the subsequent early-Jan, […]

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Stocks Reinforce ‘Danger Period’! Prepare for Sharp Sell-offs in 3Q ‘23.

08/07/23 – “Stock indexes entered the late-July/early-August ‘danger period’ and began to sell-off, with several of them turning their daily trends down.  However, they need to reinforce that by turning their intra-month trends down (the DJIA & S+P 500 are the only ones to have briefly turned their intra-month trends down, so far). In the interim, the daily trend reversal portends a […]

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Gold & Silver Project Early-Sept ’23 & Early-Nov ‘23 Peaks (90/10 Rule of Cycles?).

08-07-23 – “Gold & Silver remain in multi-month consolidation phases between their late-Feb/early-March ’23 lows and the subsequent cycle highs set on May 3 – 5.  Those highs fulfilled ~3-month low-high-(high) & ~4-month low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progressions that could create a subsequent high in early-Sept ’23. While Gold did not fulfill the latest phase of its ~3-month Cycle Progression – setting a multi-week peak a week early – Silver (and probably Gold) […]

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Stocks Enter ‘Danger Period’! Russell 2000 Signals Multi-Month Peak & Sell-off.

08/05/23 – “Stock indexes peaked and reversed lower, turning daily trends (and some intra-month trends) down in the process.  That initially validates intermediate cycle highs and the potential to enter a negative period in late-July/early-Aug ’23.  A vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23… Stock Indices entered the late-July/early-August ‘danger period’ and began to sell-off, with each one turning its daily trend down… but need to reinforce […]

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Gold & Silver Project Early-Sept ’23 Peak; Reinforce Timing for Future 4Q ’23 Surge.

08-05-23 – “Gold & Silver remain in multi-month consolidation phases between their late-Feb/early-March ’23 lows and the subsequent cycle highs set on May 3 – 5… While Gold did not fulfill the latest phase of its ~3-month Cycle Progression – setting a multi-week peak a week early – Silver (and probably Gold) could easily rally into early-Sept and perpetuate the ~4-month low-low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression. That would connect the early-May & […]

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Russell 2000 (Leader?) AND DJIA Signal Likely Multi-Month Peaks! Sell-off Begins.

08/02/23 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “Russell 2000: Leader or Laggard?”   “Is the Russell 2000 a leader or a laggard? Is it providing advanced warning of major tops and bottoms… or waiting & watching other indexes for guidance & direction (and then following)? Should it be trusted… or doubted? The answer to those questions hinges more on one’s perspective than on what the Russell […]

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Gold & Silver Remain Weak; Reinforce Potential for Future Oct/Nov ’23 Surge.

08-02-23 – “Gold & Silver remain in multi-month consolidation phases between their late-Feb/early-March ’23 lows and the subsequent cycle highs set on May 3 – 5.  Those highs fulfilled ~3-month low-high-(high) & ~4-month low-high-(high) Cycle Progressions and reinforced the focus on late-Oct/early-Nov ’23 for the next multi-month peaks – what could be the culmination of a major rally, leading into then. A peak in late-Oct/early-Nov ‘23 would perpetuate a consistent ~9.5-month cycle […]

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Silver Signaling Future Divergent (Mid-Oct ’23) Peak; XAU Weak.

08-02-23 – “Silver initially peaked in mid-July, perpetuating a ~3-month/~90-degree cycle from its mid-April & mid-Jan ’23 highs.  Those highs were preceded by lows in mid-Oct & mid-July ’22… and a high in mid-April ’22… a consistent string of ~3-month turning points. The mid-July ’23 high fulfilled a ~3-month/~90-degree low-low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and projects another high in mid-Oct ’23 (possibly diverging & preceding early-Nov highs in Gold).  Other highs […]

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Silver ‘Sweet Spot’ Reinforces Potential for Future Oct ’23 Surge & Peak.

07-31-23 – “The latter stages of that interest rate cycle, as described in late-2022 and early-2023, are also often when the Dollar loses value as the perceived support of repeated future interest rate hikes – which help support its value – begins to wane. That creates a bullish ‘double whammy’ (a highly technical term) for a market like Silver… a carrot […]

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Gold, Silver, & XAU Trading: Aug 17 – 24, ’23 = Pivotal Period!

07-29-23 – “The Dollar Index rallied to multi-week resistance and is at a crossroads.  The next multi-week cycle convergence arrives on Aug 14 – 25, ’23 – the latest phase of 23 – 24 week & 11 – 12-week high-high-(high/low?) Cycle Progressions.  That had been expected to time a subsequent high… The Dollar Index extended its rebound, reinforcing that with a daily (but not a weekly) close above 101.50/DXU… Gold & Silver remain in multi-month consolidation […]

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