Tag: 40-Year Cycle

01/03/24 – “January 2 – 4, 2024 marks the opening range of the month, as well as the opening days (though not the complete opening range) of the quarter and year.  As such, there are certain expectations surrounding these opening days (see page 2 for a couple of those) and what occurs after them. As repeatedly warned, many markets will start a new period […]

12/30/23 – “Stock indexes rallied into year-end and are expected to advance into the middle half of January ’24 and fulfill/complete the signals generated in late-October.  A more substantial sell-off should follow… Stock Indices remain on track for an overall rally from late-October ’23 into January ’24 – when a more significant top is still expected.  That has been the focus throughout this entire period… and […]

12/26/23 – “Stock indexes have hesitated since rallying into ~mid-Dec ’23 and fulfilling the latest phase of their 4Q 2023 ‘roadmap’.  That set the stage for a 1 – 2 week top, which could still extend into year-end. Weekly LHRs, .618 rebounds and a 20 – 21-week high (Dec ’21) – low (May ’22) – low (Oct ’22) – low (Mar ’23) – high […]

12/20/23 – “Stock indexes rallied into mid-Dec ’23, fulfilling the latest phase of their 4Q 2023 ‘roadmap’ and setting the stage for a 1 – 2 week top. Ultimately, they are still expected to rally into Jan ’24, fulfilling the outlook that has been intact since setting lows in late-October. A high in January ’24 would fulfill their late-October buy signals, a myriad of […]

12/16/23 – “Stock indexes rallied into mid-Dec ’23, fulfilling the latest phase of their 4Q 2023 ‘roadmap’ and setting the stage for a 1 – 2 week top.  Ultimately, they are still expected to rally into Jan ’24, as they have been since setting lows in late-October… Stock Indices remain on track for an overall advance into January ’24 – when they would fulfill their late-October […]

12/13/23 – “Stock Indices remain on track for an overall advance into January ’24 – when the latest phase of an uncanny ~2-Year Cycle recurs. In 2018, stocks rallied from Oct ’17 into Jan ’18. In 2020, stocks rallied from Oct ’19 into Jan ’20. In 2022, stocks rallied from Oct ’21 into Jan ’22. And in 2023/24, stocks began a strong rally […]

12/09/23 – “Stock indexes resumed their rallies and are expected to extend this latest advance into mid-Dec ’23 and ultimately into Jan ’24.   The DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 could ultimately (by or in Jan ’24) set new all-time highs even as indexes like the Russell 2000 are likely to set lower peaks… Stock Indices are right on track, completing a ‘pause’ – […]