Global Cycle Shifts in 2026 – 2029
Global Cycle Shifts in 2026 - 2029
09-29-25 – “Outlook 2025/2026 – Foreshadows… and 4-Shadows The first 100 days of 2025 provided plenty of volatility, uncertainty, and – most importantly – some revealing foreshadows for 2026. From a fundamental perspective, the implementation of – and threat of – escalating tariffs provided a glimpse of what was to follow. From a technical perspective, many markets (most notably, many key […]
Read more09-27-25 – “The Dollar Index rallied further, reinforcing its likely ‘b’ wave low – set while retesting its early-July low and reversing higher. The outlook for the ensuing ‘c’ wave advance continues to be that the Dollar Index will rally back to/above 101.00/DXZ… The Euro is reinforcing the outlook for a similar but inverse ‘c’ wave decline that was forecast to exhibit corrective […]
Read more08-28-25 – “Outlook 2025 – Crypto Canaries? Last month’s issue highlighted a loose relationship between two key markets. It examined the frequency of concurrent moves in key stock indexes (often the Russell 2000) and Bitcoin and what they might be revealing with those adjacent moves. As stressed then, these two do not move in perfect synchronicity and there is often a lag or lead: […]
Read more08-16-25 – “The Dollar Index has corrected after surging into August 1st and attacking its weekly LHR. The intra-month downtrend projected an extension of its decline into mid-month and to the convergence of weekly & monthly support at 97.23 – 97.45/ DXU, which was fulfilled in recent days. A final spike low could be seen – down to new weekly support – and perpetuate […]
Read more08-13-25 – “The Dollar Index has declined after surging into August 1st as part of a larger-magnitude upside correction (to the prevailing downtrend). That surge saw the Dollar attack its weekly LHR – on August 1st – which is holding. Based on its intra-month downtrend, the Dollar Index projected an extension of its decline into mid-month (now), portending a low that would also fulfill […]
Read more07-30-25 – “Outlook 2025 – Joined at the Hip? Two specific market complexes tend to move in tandem. They might not rally (or decline) at the same rate and for the same duration of time during each move, but their overall trends and turning points tend to pivot in close lockstep with one another… Those two are stock indexes & cryptocurrency. Tail […]
Read more07-23-25 – “The Dollar Index dropped below near-term support and twice neutralized its new daily uptrend in the process. It is testing its declining daily 21 Low MAC (and weekly HLS) and would not turn the daily trend down until a daily close below 96.91/DXU. As long as that does not occur, current action is being viewed as a ‘b’ or ‘2’ wave correction prior to […]
Read more07-19-25 – “The Dollar Index is bouncing after fulfilling the outlook for a drop to new lows and then turning its daily & intra-month trend up as it rallied. The Dollar Index could extend its rally to ~99.00/DXU and then pull back to ~97.10/DXU – creating an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern while testing contrasting resistance & support levels. On a broader basis, the Dollar Index […]
Read more07-16-25 – “The Dollar Index dropped below near-term support and twice neutralized its new daily uptrend in the process. It is testing its declining daily 21 Low MAC (and weekly HLS) and would not turn the daily trend down until a daily close below 96.91/DXU. As long as that does not occur, current action is being viewed as a ‘b’ or ‘2’ wave correction prior to a […]
Read more07-12-25 – “Stock Indices have retreated after fulfilling projections for a rally into July 3rd – fulfilling the most likely week (June 30 – July 3rd) and most likely days (July 1 – 3rd) for the culmination of the recent rally. That was expected to spur a quick multi-day sell-off, capable of reaching weekly HLS levels… The July 3rd highs completed a .618 rebound in […]
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