Tag: Danger Period

02/21/25 – “Stock Indices remain in the midst of multi-month trading ranges while showing progressive signs of topping (in leading/weaker indexes) and rolling over to the downside. On balance, the ensuing declines could last into late-March/early-April ’25. An intervening decline could produce an initial multi-week low on [reserved for subscribers]… The S+P Midcap – which has been leading most reversals since early-October – […]

02/20/25 – “Stock Indices remain in the midst of multi-month trading ranges while showing progressive signs of topping (in leading/weaker indexes) and rolling over to the downside. On balance, the ensuing declines could last into late-March/early-April ’25… The S+P Midcap – which has been leading most reversals since early-October – was projecting a rebound peak on January 22/23rd that would fulfill a […]

02/19/25 – The Roaring ‘20s, the dot.com ‘90’s and… – “While it might only be only one sector of the overall financial markets, there is an unfolding parallel – part 1920’s & part 1990’s – that warrants closer scrutiny in the weeks and months to come.  In both previous cases, it was an example of trends getting way overdone. Another trend is showing signs of stretching […]

02/15/25 – “Stock indexes remain mixed with the S+P Midcap, Russell 2000 & DJTA continuing to validate their late-November peaks while the S+P 500 & NQ-100 are attempting to retest their peaks before reversing lower.  The divergent weekly trend indicators – in both those indexes – argue for a reversal lower in the coming week… Stock Indices remain in the midst of […]

02/12/25 – The Inflation Conundrum – “CPI data came out ’hotter than expected’… exactly as expected.  The price action in Bonds & Notes signaled a top last week and then quickly reversed the daily trend back down – increasing the likelihood for a decline into February 18 – 21st, when daily & weekly cycles re-converge. That is also in sync with their weekly trend indicator […]

02/08/25 – “Stock indexes fulfilled their January 10/13th weekly trend and related 4-Shadow signals – both of which projected 1 – 3 week reactive rallies into late-January.  A majority of the primary indexes were projected to top on January 22/ 23d and fulfilled that, portending a dangerous period on [reserved for subscribers]…    Stock Indices remain in the midst of a multi-week congestion period but […]

02/07/25 – “Stock indices remain in the midst of a multi-week congestion period but showing progressive signs of rolling over to the downside on a multi-day & multi-week basis (multi-month basis in some indexes), increasing the potential for an overall decline into March/April 2025. They fulfilled analysis for a multi-week reactive rally linked to their weekly trend patterns & 4-Shadow signals triggered on January […]

02/06/25 – “Stock indices began the week with another abrupt sell-off on the heels of short-lived (for now) tariffs on Canada & Mexico.  Several indexes spiked down to weekly support levels on Monday, reinforcing the likelihood for a 3 – 5 day low.  As in the prior week (that began with a similar plunge), a quick recovery ensued. Equities remain in the midst of […]

02/05/25 – “Stock indices, in an act of déjà vu, began the week with another abrupt sell-off on the heels of short-lived tariffs on Canada & Mexico.  (The prior week began with DeepSeek nearly deep-sixing tech/AI stocks.)  And, once again, a quick recovery ensued. Equities remain in the midst of a multi-week congestion period, having fulfilled expectations for a 1 – 3 week reactive rally […]