Tag: Dollar

08/17/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – “Bitcoin rallied into, and peaked during, the latest phase of a daily high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression on Aug 15.  That also fulfilled its intra-month uptrend, which projected a rally into Aug 15/16 and a reversal lower. Once again, Bitcoin failed to close above its late-July high – reinforcing that as pivotal intermediate resistance.  That high had fulfilled Bitcoin’s initial upside target while also generating […]

08/13/22 Weekly Re-Lay – “Bitcoin remains in positive territory and could see a spike up to 27,200 – 27,600/BT – where the declining weekly 21 Low MAC converges with the weekly LHR.  It continues to ride along/above the rising daily 21 High MAC – which could spur a quick rally into daily & intra-month cycle highs on Aug 15/16. It is positive until a daily close below 20,700/BT.” Bitcoin, in Nov ’21, […]

08/10/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – “Bitcoin remains in positive territory and could see a spike up to 28,500/BT – where the declining weekly 21 Low MAC converges with multiple weekly LHRs.  It is positive until a daily close below 20,700/BT. A daily high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression projects a peak on Aug 11 – 15.” Bitcoin, in Nov ’21, fulfilled what its monthly and weekly trend indicators projected and what its overall wave structure […]

08/06/22 Weekly Re-Lay – “Bitcoin briefly neutralized its 2 – 4 week uptrend and its daily trend & daily 21 MAC action on Aug 4 but re-entered it on Aug 5.  It could still see an additional spike high in the coming days, but the window of opportunity for this appears to be closing. The action of the next 1 – 2 days should clarify.  […]

07/13/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – “Today’s CPI report reinforced, yet again, that inflation is alive and well in the US economy.  It is, however, entering a decisive time frame when a peak has long been forecast – in 3Q ‘22.  That precise peak could be seen in CPI or PPI or other measures of commodity price inflation (GSCI, etc.) but the important factor is that the time […]

07/06/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – 40-Year Cycle Reset; Phase VIII Begins – “While an intra-week Alert is not normally the place for discussing multi-decade cycles (and this one will be brief), there are times when it is important to distinguish the forest from the trees.  No time is more critical for that undertaking than the onset of a new major cycle. Since 2012/2013, our […]

06/29/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – 80/20 Rule of Bubbles – “The bursting bubble in Bitcoin and cryptocurrency is placing an emphatic exclamation mark on the 40-Year Cycle of Currency War analysis and what was forecast – for nearly a decade – for the time frame from 2016 into 2021. It is also occurring alongside the culmination of a 40-Year Cycle in stocks that was forecast to […]

06/25/22 Weekly Re-Lay – “Bitcoin reached a crucial 6 – 12 month downside target (triggered at Nov ’21 peak) near 20,000/BT and did spike below 18,000/BT before rebounding.  It is negative until a daily close above 24,000/BTU. On a 6 – 12 month basis, Bitcoin remains on track for an overall decline into Sept ’22 (see related ~15-month HCP diagram) and could easily reach its primary 1 – […]

06/22/22 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – The Other Golden Rule – “On June 8 – June 20, Bitcoin lost nearly half its value – exhibiting another variation of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (90% – or a large majority – of a price move often occurs during the final 10% – or very small minority – of a cycle… right as a market is surging […]