Tag: Dollar

12/02/23 – “The Dollar Index reached multi-week downside targets & support (~102.40/DXZ), setting the stage for a 3 – 5 day low.  It also fulfilled a 26 – 29-day high-high-high-(low; Nov 27 – 30) Cycle Progression while reinforcing the developing negative structure of the monthly trend & wave structure… The Dollar Index has been trading inside its rising monthly 21 MAC since March ’23 and ended the month dropping back […]

11/29/23 – “The Dollar Index reached its downside target (~102.40/DXZ) and multiple weekly support levels, setting the stage for a 3 – 5 day low. Today’s spike low also initially fulfilled a 26 – 29-day high-high-high-(low; Nov 27 – 30) Cycle Progression while exceeding the duration of the previous June/July ’23 decline (confirming a higher magnitude of weakness and reinforcing the negative structure of the monthly trend).  An additional spike […]

11/29/23 – “Outlook 2024 – The Golden Canary The fulfillment of Middle East War Cycles, in October 2023, was just the latest validation to the outlook for 2023 – 2025.  Reinforcing these geopolitical cycles has been the action and analysis for Gold & Silver.  In many ways, Gold acts as the proverbial ‘canary in the coal mine’ – warning of looming turmoil before it occurs.  That is the focus […]

11/25/23 – “The Dollar Index fulfilled its outside-week/2 Close Reversal sell signal – dropping into Nov 17/20 ’23 and completing a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) that fulfilled an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression.  In the process, it turned the weekly trend down. That low matched the duration of the previous June/July ’23 decline while fulfilling a short-term ~2-week low-low-low-(low) Cycle Progression.  If it drops any lower in the […]

11/18/23 – “The Dollar Index remains under the negative influence of its outside-week/2 Close Reversal sell signal – fulfilling projections for a spike lower into Nov 17/20 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) that fulfills an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression… From a broader perspective, the monthly trend setup remains in focus.  As the Dollar rallied into October ’23, it twice neutralized its […]

11/08/23 – “The Dollar Index plunged to begin November, confirming a secondary high and generating an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower.  That reinforced the outlook for a new decline into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks dn) and fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression. It has already tested monthly support but would not turn the intra-month trend down until […]

11/04/23 – “The Dollar Index confirmed a secondary high and generated an outside-week/2 Close Reversal lower – reinforcing the outlook for a new decline into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) and the fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression. While there remain weekly/monthly cycles that return in Jan ’24, it is important to examine key price factors […]

10/31/23 – “Bitcoin & Ether surged after setting another round of divergent lows (higher low in Bitcoin, lower low in Ether) on Oct 11/12, 1 month from the more significant Sept 11, ’23 low. While setting that previous (Sept 11) low, Bitcoin perpetuated a ~3-month low (Mar 10 – 14) – low (Jun 10 – 14) – (low; Sept 10 – 14) Cycle Progression while […]

10/25/23 – “The Dollar Index is turning neutral but would not turn negative – on a 2 – 4 week basis – until a daily close below 105.30/DXZ.  It barely missed doing that even as the cash Dollar Index turned its daily trend down. Both bounced to weekly resistance and their flattening daily 21 High MACs as that average enters a time when it could turn down.  If […]

10/21/23 – “The Dollar Index is turning neutral but would not turn negative – on a 2 – 4 week basis – until a daily close below 105.30/DXZ.  If that occurs, the Dollar could see a new decline lasting into Nov 13 – 17 ’23 – a 50% retracement in time (12 wks up, 6 wks down) and the fulfillment of an ~18-week high-low-(low) Cycle Progression… Bitcoin & Ether remain […]