Tag: Dollar

01/24/24 – “Inflation continues to be a driving force behind most of the markets, triggering abrupt reversals or violent swings when unexpected data emerges.  One of the key gauges of commodity inflation – described for several years in these publications – is the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (pictured above). With its heavier weighting in energy markets, the GSCI often mimics the movement in Crude Oil… but there is enough […]

01/20/24 – “Bitcoin & Ether are showing signs of topping after Bitcoin reached its 3 – 6 month/~48,000/BT target, setting its highest daily close at 47,985/BTH on Jan. 8.  That fulfilled its multi-month buy signals from mid-Sept & mid-Oct ’23… Bitcoin plunged from there, leaving intact its ~8.5 – 9-month/36 – 38-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression.  Bitcoin tested & held its weekly HLS, portending a 1 – 2 month low […]

01/17/24 – “The Dollar Index turned its daily & intra-month trends up, spurring further upside and reinforcing the outlook for a rally toward 103.75/DXH – its 4th wave of lesser degree resistance and upside target.  Daily cycle highs converge on January 19/22 and are likely to time a 1 – 2 week peak. If so, that would likely spur a drop into the next phase of the Dollar’s ~4-week low-high-high-high-high-low-low-(low; January 25 […]

01/13/24 – “Bitcoin & Ether spiked up with Bitcoin reaching its ~48,000/BT target, setting its highest daily close at 47,985/BTH (47,108/BTC) on January 8 and fulfilling its multi-month buy signals from mid-September ’23 & mid-October ’23.  It dropped from there, leaving intact its highest weekly close (in Dec ’23) that perpetuated an ~8.5 – 9-month/36 – 38-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression. These peaks offered the ideal place to lighten […]

01/11/24 – “The Battle Rages On!  The Dollar remains under pressure and Gold has been consolidating, leaving room for Bitcoin to shoot up to its 3 – 6 month extreme target near 48,000/BT.   As detailed since early-December:   — 12-06-23 Weekly Re-Lay Alert – “Bitcoin has nearly reached its multi-month upside target – at ~45,000/BT (see Oct., Nov. & Dec. ’23 INSIIDE Tracks) – and could spike […]

01/11/24 – “Bitcoin & Ether spiked above their late-December cycle highs in anticipation of, and reaction to, the SEC ruling on Bitcoin ETFs.  That allowed Bitcoin to spike up to ~48,000/BT and set its highest daily close at 47,985/BTH (47,108/BTC) on January 8, fulfilling its multi-month buy signals from mid-September ’23 & mid-October ’23 while reaching extreme upside targets for this phase of the crypto rally:   […]

01/10/24 – “The Dollar Index has consolidated after surging from intermediate cycle lows on December 26 – 29.  A subsequent low could be seen on January 25/26.  The question is whether any additional upside will be seen in the interim. The Dollar has neutralized its daily downtrend multiple times but would not turn that trend up, and elevate this rally to a higher magnitude, until a daily close […]

01/06/24 – “The Dollar Index surged after setting its lowest daily close (since early-August) on December 27th & intraday low on December 28th, fulfilling the latest phase of its ~4-week cycle… Bitcoin & Ether fulfilled projections for rallies into December 2023, the perpetuation of an ~8.5 – 9-month/36 – 38-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression.  Coinciding with that, Bitcoin attacked its multi-month upside target – at ~45,000/BT while Ether tested & held its upside target at […]

01/03/24 – “January 2 – 4, 2024 marks the opening range of the month, as well as the opening days (though not the complete opening range) of the quarter and year.  As such, there are certain expectations surrounding these opening days (see page 2 for a couple of those) and what occurs after them. As repeatedly warned, many markets will start a new period with […]