Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 – 2025
Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 - 2025
04/21/25 – Stock Indices appear to be tracing out a bottom with the DJTA, S+P Midcap 400 & Russell 2000 potentially leading a reversal higher… just as they led reversals lower in late-Nov ’24, late-Jan ’25 & late-Feb ’25. While the DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 have trended lower from the April 14th high, the DJTA, IDX & QRM have remained inside the […]
Read more04/19/25 – Stock indexes fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for 20 – 25% (or larger) declines into early-April and have since consolidated above their April 7th lows. Those lows also fulfilled a myriad of daily, weekly & monthly cycles converging on April 3 – 7th, reinforcing the outlook for a multi-week bottom… Stock Indices appear to be tracing out a bottom […]
Read more04/17/25 – Stock Indices were mostly (slightly) positive today with one BIG exception being the 2nd-heaviest weighted stock in the DJIA – UNH. It plunged ~22% on Medicare and cost-related fears and dragged the DJIA down with it. Meanwhile, the S+P 500 & NQ-100 closed near unchanged as the Russell 2000, S+P Midcap & DJTA closed slightly higher. From a technical perspective, very little […]
Read more04/16/25 – 17-Year Cycle, Natural Year & Date of Aggression – “Natural Year Omens The first month of the new Natural Year is nearing completion with several markets entering culmination phases of their 3 – 6 month or 6 – 12 month trends. As described before, the Natural Year begins with the Vernal equinox and ushers in a time of change… often dramatic change. The first part […]
Read more04/14/25 – “Stock Indices fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for 20 – 25% (or larger) declines into early-April while tracing out a textbook monthly chart scenario for 1 – 2 month lows (test monthly HLS in March ’25, then test monthly LLS in April ‘25). All of that reinforced the decisive nature of cycle lows on April 3 – 7th, when most stocks bottomed. […]
Read more04/12/25 – “Stock indexes have fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for 20 – 25% (or larger) declines into early-April while tracing out a textbook monthly chart scenario for 1 – 2 month lows (test HLS, then LLS). All of that reinforced the pivotal nature of cycle lows on April 3 – 7th, when most stocks bottomed… Stock Indices culminated their latest decline […]
Read more04/11/25 – “Stock Indices took another pause with several indexes again trading in ‘inside days’ when compared to April 10th (lower highs and higher lows than the previous day). In doing so, they are slowly adding credence to their early-April cycle lows. On April 7th, they culminated their latest decline in dramatic fashion, reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a […]
Read more04/09/25 – “The 17-Year Cycle” INSIIDE Track has spent the last 12 – 15 months describing how the recurrence of an uncanny 17-Year Cycle would lead to a major stock market peak in 4Q 2024 (17 years from 4Q 2007 peak) and trigger a minimum 20 – 25% drop in the ensuing 6 – 12 months. (See https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/17-year-cycle/ for related publications.) As 2025 began to unfold, […]
Read more05/13/24 – “Stock Indices remain in the second stage (a multi-week reactive rally from the April 19th lows) of what is expected to be a 2 – 3 month sell-off after fulfilling multi-year upside price targets and cycles in all six indexes in 1Q 2024. In Elliott terms, they are in a likely ‘b’ wave bounce – sandwiched between an initial ‘a’ […]
Read more05/11/24 – “Stock Indices remain divergent with their weekly trends projecting slightly different outcomes. In both cases, the indexes are still perceived to be in (or just completing) a ‘b’ wave bounce – between an initial ‘a’ wave decline and an expected (potentially sharper) ‘c’ wave decline. The April 19th lows – and coinciding weekly HLS and weekly trend indicators – projected a multi-week reactive […]
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