Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 – 2025
Preparing for Major Shifts in 2021 - 2025
03/19/24 – “The Natural Year The Natural Year begins on each vernal equinox (start of Spring) and flows through to the next. The first month of that Natural Year is a decisive time… If one were to begin a calendar on the vernal equinox (March 20), the first month of that year would end on April 19/20th. It would be the ‘opening range’ for that Natural Year; a pivotal […]
Read more03/18/24 – “Stock indexes are slowly forming respective peaks after fulfilling 1 – 2 year upside price targets at the same time the ~2-Year Cycle peaks… Individual stocks are showing far greater disparity with the ‘Magnificent 7’ providing a perfect anecdotal example of a topping formation… Of those 7 leading tech stocks, high weekly closes were set on 12/15/23, 12/22/23, 1/26/24, 2/09/24, 3/01/24 (2) & 3/08/24… creating […]
Read more03/16/24 – “Stock indexes have reached the point where all the indexes (three primary & three secondary) have fulfilled their 6 – 12 month and 1 – 2 year upside targets at the same time the Russell 2000 fulfilled its weekly trend pattern & signaled a top. The DJTA is leading a reversal lower… Stock Indices are slowly forming respective peaks after fulfilling […]
Read more02/03/24 – “Stock indexes have rallied into early-February with the DJIA & NQ-100 nearing their 6 – 12 month and 1 – 2 year upside targets (as the NQ-100 enters the recurrence of one of its most consistent weekly cycles). A multi-month peak could take hold at any time… Stock Indices remain in positive weekly trends but with widening divergence. They are in the […]
Read more01/31/24 – “Opening ranges play a key role in analyzing the markets. That has been evident in many trading systems (like Market Profile, which was heavily used by day traders in the 1980’s & 1990’s) and/or approaches to analyzing and timing market movement & swings. The intra-month & intra-year trends are an example of these. Another involves a tactic I have used for […]
Read more01/31/24 – “Equities rallied from cycle lows in late-October and are fulfilling the outlook for overall advances (from late-2022 & early-2023) into Jan/Feb 2024 – when a more significant peak is expected. 3 – 6 month peaks are expected in this time frame as multi-year cycles begin to pave the way for another significant sell-off in 2024/2025… Stock Indices have fulfilled analysis for an overall rally […]
Read more01/27/24 – “Stock indexes have rallied since mid-month with the Russell 2000, DJTA and S+P Midcap 400 signaling they could/should rally back to the late-December highs before a new multi-week peak takes hold… Stock Indices remain in positive weekly trends with the Russell 2000 continuing to signal that it should rally back to its December ’23 high… While declining into mid-month and […]
Read more01/24/24 – “Inflation continues to be a driving force behind most of the markets, triggering abrupt reversals or violent swings when unexpected data emerges. One of the key gauges of commodity inflation – described for several years in these publications – is the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (pictured above). With its heavier weighting in energy markets, the GSCI often mimics the movement in Crude Oil… but there is […]
Read more01/20/24 – “Stock indexes fulfilled divergent expectations with weaker/smaller-cap indexes spiking to new lows and stronger/larger-cap indexes rallying to new highs surrounding mid-month. The Russell 2000 provided some intriguing signals of an intermediate low and could lead those indexes back up in the coming week(s)… Stock Indices are expanding their divergence with the weaker indexes (DJTA, Russell 2000 & S+P Midcap 400) fulfilling […]
Read more01/13/24 – “Stock indexes have rallied after selling off in the opening days of January but NOT turning their new intra-month trends down. That pullback occurred after the NQ-100 (and others) fulfilled its ~2-month cycle and surged from October 26/27th into December 27th. Most of the primary indexes sold off long enough, and far enough, to attack monthly support levels but not far […]
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