Tag: Stock Market Cycles

12/14/24 – “Stock indexes remain divergent with the NQ-100 moving higher (and now matching the magnitudes of the prior IDX, QR & DJTA rallies) as most other indexes move lower from their late-November peaks.  The IDX, DJTA & QRH peaked precisely on Nov 25th – fulfilling the past two months’ outlooks – and have since sold off.  Additional selling is expected in the […]

12/12/24 – “Stock Indices are showing initial divergence with the S+P Midcap 400, DJTA & Russell 2000 declining from their November 25th (cyclic) peaks while tech stocks and indexes extended rallies into the first half of December. They are all entering a precarious period that begins on December 13 – 19th (based on diverse indicators including daily 21 MACs & 21 MARCs). The DJIA, […]

12/11/24 – “Stock Indices are showing initial divergence with the S+P Midcap 400, DJTA & Russell 2000 declining from their November 25th (cyclic) peaks while tech stocks and indexes extended rallies into the first half of December… Small cap and mid-cap stock indexes, as described in early-October ’24, fulfilled expectations to mimic the action of June/July 2024 and lead an overall […]

12/07/24 – “Stock indexes are showing some divergence after fulfilling a series of highs projected for Oct 17/18, Nov 11 – 13th and ultimately Nov 22/25th.  The IDX, DJTA & RUT peaked precisely on Nov 25th – fulfilling the past two months’ outlook – and have since sold off.  The NQ-100 and related tech stocks extended their advances to monthly resistance… Stock Indices […]

12/05/24 – “Stock Indices are showing minor signs of divergence with the S+P Midcap 400 remaining below its November 25th (cyclic) peak while tech stocks and indexes extended rallies into their early-December cycle highs. If the IDX is to validate that late-Nov cycle high, it should not give a daily close above that November 25th high.  (In contrast, a daily close below […]

12/04/24 – “Stock Indices are showing minor signs of divergence with the S+P Midcap 400 remaining below its November 25th (cyclic) peak while tech stocks and indexes extended rallies… Small cap and mid-cap stock indexes, as described in early-October ’24, were expected to mimic the action of June/July 2024 and lead an overall stock rally into late-November ’24.  At the same time, […]

11/30/24 – “Stock indexes have fulfilled a series of highs projected for Oct 17/18, Nov 11 – 13th and ultimately Nov 22/25th… and now enter a broader time of uncertainty. For the past two months, the focus has been on that final cycle – in late-Nov ’24 – to complete a topping phase with the S+P Midcap 400 possessing the greatest […]

11/30/24 – “Stock Indices have further validated the latest phase of the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Peaks.  While that could time a peak at any point in 2024, most indications were signaling it would wait until 4Q 2024.  (The first chance was in October ‘24 but was not confirmed – with several stocks peaking as the Indexes failed to reverse.) If/when that is fulfilled, […]

11/29/24 – “Outlook 2025 – The Three ‘Cs’ of Trading Some revealing market relationships are maturing so it is a good time to review important principles about analyzing and/or trading seemingly related markets.  The recognition and adherence to one critical principle is vital to long-term trading success.   Coincidence, Correlation or Causality? In early-October, two coinciding analyses – in two often-correlated markets – […]