Tag: Stock Market Cycles

08/14/23 – “Stock indexes entered the late-July/early-August ‘danger period’ and began to sell-off, with several of them turning their daily trends down.  However, they have not yet shown significant negative signals, leaving them in neutral territory on a 1 – 2 month basis.  This vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23 so another wave of selling is still possible after a brief bounce.  Aug 21 – 25 remains the […]

08/12/23 – “Stock indexes reversed lower in early-Aug ‘23, validating weekly cycles and turning daily & intra-month trends down in the process.  That validated the potential to enter a negative period in late-July/early-Aug ’23 – and a vulnerable period that extends into late-Aug ’23… Stock Indices are slowly selling off after peaking and reversing lower in late-July/early-August ‘23, turning daily & intra-month trends down as a significant […]

08/09/23 – “Stock Indices peaked and reversed lower in late-July/early-August ‘23, turning daily & intra-month trends down as a significant ‘danger period’ began.  That initially validates intermediate cycle highs and the potential for a multi-week sell-off.  A vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23. The DJIA spiked higher on Aug 1/2 – fulfilling a ~1.5-month low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and a series of ~3-month (90-degree) moves from successive highs on Nov 1/2, […]

08/07/23 – “Stock indexes entered the late-July/early-August ‘danger period’ and began to sell-off, with several of them turning their daily trends down.  However, they need to reinforce that by turning their intra-month trends down (the DJIA & S+P 500 are the only ones to have briefly turned their intra-month trends down, so far). In the interim, the daily trend reversal portends a […]

08/05/23 – “Stock indexes peaked and reversed lower, turning daily trends (and some intra-month trends) down in the process.  That initially validates intermediate cycle highs and the potential to enter a negative period in late-July/early-Aug ’23.  A vulnerable period extends into late-Aug ’23… Stock Indices entered the late-July/early-August ‘danger period’ and began to sell-off, with each one turning its daily trend down… but need to reinforce […]

08/02/23 Weekly Re-Lay Alert: “Russell 2000: Leader or Laggard?”   “Is the Russell 2000 a leader or a laggard? Is it providing advanced warning of major tops and bottoms… or waiting & watching other indexes for guidance & direction (and then following)? Should it be trusted… or doubted? The answer to those questions hinges more on one’s perspective than on what the Russell […]

07/29/23 – “Stock Indices remain positive, having rallied into intermediate cycle highs in late-July after initially peaking in mid-June ’23 and then consolidating for 4 – 5 weeks… without generating any multi-month sell signals.  That corroborated May ‘23 monthly trend reversals in indexes like the NQ-100… timing an initial peak but portending a future rally after a reactive pullback. This has also allowed the Russell 2000 […]

07/26/23 – “Stock Indices remain positive, having rallied into intermediate cycle highs in mid-June ’23 and then consolidating for 4 – 5 weeks.  During that consolidation, they could not signal anything more than 1 – 2 month peaks – and did not provide any convincing sell signals – eventually giving way to an additional wave higher after a ~month of congestion had transpired. That […]

07/22/23 – “Stock indexes are fulfilling upside objectives – in price and time – with the Russell 2000 being an index that is adhering closely to these levels and ushering in the time for a potential 1 – 2 month (or longer) peak…The coming week’s Fed meeting (and Basel III Endgame meeting) could impact many financial markets… Stock Indices remain positive with expanding divergence among […]

07/19/23 – “Stock Indices remain positive with the DJIA fulfilling the potential for a spike high – and potential intermediate top… The DJTA, which has often led reversals over the past ~25 years, is arguing for a more significant peak in July/Aug ’23… based on its monthly & weekly trend patterns (see July 13, ’23 INSIIDE Track Intra-month Update) and the fulfillment of a 20-month […]