Bitcoin Attacks ~40,000 Target; 2022 Plunge Below 30,000/BT Expected!
12/20/21 INSIIDE Track Update – “The Dollar Index has consolidated since surging to new highs in late-Nov. It pulled back and neutralized its daily uptrend multiple times but could not turn the daily trend down – spurring a retest of the recent high. That could be creating a double-top that fulfills an 8-week low-low-high Cycle Progression, which sub-divided into a 4-week low-high-(high) Cycle Progression.
Both of those portend a peak at this time. The Dollar maintains the potential for a subsequent (1 – 2 week) low on Dec. 29 – 31, so it could trace out an Intra-Month Inverted V reversal (low at start of month, high at mid-month, lower low at month-end). The inversely-correlated daily 21 MARC is surging and could overtake current daily highs and lows in 1 – 2 days, prompting the corresponding daily 21 MAC to turn down. That increases the potential for the Dollar to see a sell-off back to 94.50 – 94.70/DXH within 2 weeks.
From a broader perspective, the Dollar recently provided another confirmation to analysis that projected a 1 – 2 year low in early-2021 (fulfilling an uncanny ~3-Year Cycle). It surged above a decisive breakout point in Nov ‘21 and then closed the month above its declining monthly 21 High MAC. Following that confirmation signal, a reactive pullback would be normal…
Bitcoin remains negative and could still spike down into Dec 22 (+ or – 1 trading day) and potentially retest pivotal support at 40 – 42,000/BT. For now, ~51,000/BTH is near-term resistance.
On a 1 – 2 year basis, the Oct 20/Nov 10 double top fulfilled upside targets – while retesting the April ’21 peak – and should hold into 2022. The intriguing thing about Bitcoin, however, remains the multiple levels of ‘5th’ waves that were fulfilled at its high in Nov ’21.
Looking out into 2022, that would leave Bitcoin vulnerable to dropping as low as 29,000 – 30,000 as part of a larger-magnitude correction IF it breaks below 40,000/BT. That is where the ‘4th wave of lesser degree’ – for the entire ~3-year uptrend (from the Dec ’18 low) – resides. For now, 40,000 – 42,000/BT remains as decisive support.”
Bitcoin, in Nov ’21, fulfilled what its monthly and weekly trend indicators projected and what its overall wave structure necessitated – a surge to new all-time highs (~66,000+/BT) ushering in a major top in late-Oct/early-Nov ‘21. That also fulfilled the multi-year outlook for a major advance into 2021 when Currency War Cycles culminated.
Since then, Bitcoin has been on track for an initial plunge to 40,000 – 42,000 (ideally in 2021) and an overall plummet to 29,000 – 30,000/BT – its most decisive level of monthly support. Bitcoin’s unfolding sell-off is powerfully corroborating the outlook for 2022!
What does this mean for the future of cryptos? What if Bitcoin Drops below 29,000/BT??
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.