Bitcoin Attacks ~80K Target; Fulfills Nov 17-21st Cycle Low; Jan/Feb ’26 Plunge to ~70K Projected.
11-22-25 – “Bitcoin & Ether just fulfilled a pair of critical downside objectives – one in price and one in time. Since the early-October peak in Bitcoin, the outlook has been for a sharp decline into the week of Nov 17 – 21st, ’25 AND a sharp drop to ~80,000/BTC during its primary decline.
On Nov 21st, Bitcoin spiked below 81,000 (80,742/BT intraday low) and fulfilled both.
That powerfully validates multi-year cycles that peaked in 4Q ’25 and projected a major decline to unfold in Bitcoin & cryptos, beginning in Nov ’25.
That ~4-year cycle portends at least a 3 – 6-month decline… and potentially longer. This drop also validates the July ’25 cycle peak in major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.).
Ether set a divergent peak in late-Aug – fulfilling its multi-year upside wave target and a 38-week low-high-high-(high: Aug 25 – 29, ’25) Cycle Progression – while finally fulfilling its upside wave objective, reinforcing the outlook for cryptos.
The next downside target is near 70,000/BT (which would entail a spike below range-trading support near 75,000). A drop to ~70,000/BT would match the magnitude of the 2021/22 decline and have Bitcoin test 2021 & ’24 highs.“
Bitcoin & cryptos fulfilled early-October sell signals and projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT) – when an initial multi-week low is most likely. Tech stocks corroborated. This action reinforces the focus on 1Q ’26 (after stock index cycles peak in late-Jan ’26) for a more convincing plunge in cryptos… and then tech stocks in Feb and/or March ‘26.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that should spur an initial drop in crypto prices in 4Q 2025 and then a second drop in 1Q ’26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26.
The initial sell-off in Bitcoin was projected to occur leading into the second half of November ’25 – an omen of what is likely to follow in late-Jan/early-Feb ’26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions. One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Why Does Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Sell-off Portend Feb. ’26 Plunge?
Will ‘Eerie Parallels’ Emerge in Feb/March ’26… in Sync with Analysis?
What is Seismic Shift Projected for 4Q 2025/1Q 2026?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.