Bitcoin Corroborates Projected Plunge into Nov 17 – 21st! Dollar Strengthening.
10-25-25 – “The Dollar, Euro & Yen are fulfilling the outlook for a new Dollar rally – likely to last into month-end. Gold & Silver fulfilled extreme upside targets in price & time and could be setting a major peak…
The Dollar Index is fulfilling analysis for a ‘c’ wave advance with initial resistance at 99.50 – 100.08/DXZ and a more likely upside objective near 101.00/DXZ…
However, it is the overall price action that continues to look more and more constructive – indicating the Dollar Index could be tracing out a larger-magnitude rally. It bottomed in early-July ’25, in sync with multi-month cycle lows, and has been going through a bottoming process.
The initial rally peaked at the declining weekly 21 High MAC and triggered a ‘b’ wave drop back toward the lows as that 21 MAC lost downward momentum.
As it was flattening in Sept ’25, the Dollar Index rallied back to and above the weekly 21 High MAC and has traded above that level as the 21 High MAC direction has turned up.
The best reinforcement would be a weekly close above 99.30/DXZ – reversing the weekly trend up and signaling a higher magnitude advance (while also timing a likely initial high).
The Euro is tracing out an opposing ‘c’ wave decline that should make it to at least 1.1500/E6Z – where it would fulfill a flat correction (with two lows at similar levels) but more likely down to 1.1380/E6Z or lower.
The Aug & Sept ’24 highs (resistance turned into support), a primary downside wave target (new decline equals Sept/Oct decline), and the monthly 21 High MAC are at ~1.1340 – 1.1360/E6Z and represent key downside targets…
Bitcoin & Ether sold off after Bitcoin fulfilled its weekly trend & attacked major upside targets (up to ~127,000/BT) while (initially) perpetuating a ~4-Year Cycle Progression that peaks in 4Q ’25 as Ether fulfilled its multi-year upside wave target and a precise 38-week low-high-high-(high: Aug 25 – 29, ’25) Cycle Progression.
Multiple cycles could extend a decline into Nov 17 – 21, ‘25. “
Bitcoin has dropped sharply after fulfilling projections for a final spike high in 4Q ’25 and near/at 125 – 127,000/BTC. That was the (published) upside target range for many months and the ideal range for a Major peak! Bitcoin topped near 126,000 on October 6th – the midpoint of weekly Cycle Progressions that project the next low for Nov 17 – 21, ’25 – reinforcing that future cycle low.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of parallels that should/would come into focus in 4Q 2025, when related cycles are projecting a major shift in many financial and currency-related markets… as well as stock indexes, interest rates and energy markets. That (now) is when the first big sell-off in Bitcoin is most likely.
One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Are Bitcoin & Crypto Stocks on Verge of Sharper Plunge?
What Do Bitcoin & Ether Sell Signals Portend for Coming Weeks?
Why is Seismic Shift Expected in 4Q 2025?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.