Bitcoin & Crypto Nov ’25 Plunges Provide Precursor to 1Q ’26 Sell-offs.
11-15-25 – “Stock indices bounced into mid-week as the S+P 500 tried repeatedly to turn its new daily downtrend (& intra-month trend) up, but failed to. It ended the week with a pair of daily closes below the flattening daily 21 Low MAC and could soon turn the direction of that average down – most likely on Nov 18th (when the inversely-related daily 21 Low MARC jumps to 6694/ESZ).
The NQ-100 acted similarly but with a slightly more negative slant. It bounced into Nov 12th – fulfilling its daily trend signal – and peaked while bumping up against its daily 21 High MAC – without neutralizing its daily downtrend. It sold off into Nov 14th, closing below its daily 21 Low MAC on Nov 13 & 14th & turning it down on Nov 14th…
Bitcoin & Ether continue to drop after Bitcoin attacked & held major upside targets (~125,000 – 127,000/BT) while peaking in 4Q ’25 but holding its July ’25 peak – a time when major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.) peaked.
Ether set a divergent peak in late-Aug – fulfilling its multi-year upside wave target and a 38-week low-high-high-(high: Aug 25 – 29, ’25) Cycle Progression. Both are fulfilling projections for an overall decline into Nov 14 – 21…
They bounced into mid-week and right back to the daily 21 MAC without entering it, projecting subsequent acceleration lower (in the week after they also closed below their weekly 21 Low MACs). If a low is set in the coming days, Bitcoin could rebound (on balance) into [reserved for subscribers].“
Bitcoin & cryptos are fulfilling early-October sell signals and projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT) – when an initial multi-week low is most likely. The NQ-100 corroborates that and projects an initial low on Nov 17 – 24, ’25. This action reinforces the focus on 1Q ’26 (after stock index cycles peak in late-Jan ’26) for a more convincing plunge in cryptos… and then tech stocks in Feb and/or March ‘26.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that should spur an initial drop in crypto prices in 4Q 2025 and then a second drop in 1Q ’26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26.
The initial sell-off in Bitcoin was projected to occur leading into the second half of November ’25 – an omen of what is likely to follow in late-Jan/early-Feb ’26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions. One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
How Does Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Plunge Presage 1Q ’26 Plummet?
What is Seismic Shift Projected for 4Q 2025/1Q 2026?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.