Bitcoin Fulfills 4Q ’25 Downside Projections; Portends Bounce to ~97K Before 1Q ’26 Plunge!
12-04-25 – “Bitcoin & Ether are validating analysis for rallies into Dec 4 – 8th after fulfilling a pair of critical downside objectives – one in price and one in time – during the month of November ’25.
Ever since the early-October peak in Bitcoin, the outlook was for a sharp decline into the week of Nov 17 – 21st, ’25 AND a sharp drop to ~80,000/BTC during that primary decline.
On Nov 21st, Bitcoin spiked below 81,000 (80,742/BT intraday low) and fulfilled both – signaling the time and place for a multi-week low.
At the same time, that powerfully validated multi-year cycles that peaked in 4Q ’25 and that projected a major decline to unfold in Bitcoin & cryptos, beginning in Nov ’25. That ~4-year cycle portends at least a 3 – 6-month decline… and potentially longer.
This drop also validates the July ’25 cycle peak in major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.) that continue to trend lower… initial resistance is near 97,000 with more significant resistance near 99,000/BTC.“
Bitcoin & cryptos fulfilled early-October sell signals & projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT). That was/is projected to spur a rebound to at least 97,000/BTC before a second plunge takes hold in Jan/Feb ’26… and potentially spills over into other markets.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that should spur an initial drop in crypto prices in 4Q 2025 and then a second drop in 1Q ’26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26. ~70K is the next (minimum) downside target.
The initial plunge in Bitcoin was projected to be an omen of what is likely to follow in 1Q ‘26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions. One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle goes through a major downward shift:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Why Should Bitcoin Reach ~97K Before Next Plunge?
Why Did Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Sell-offs Portend Jan/Feb. ’26 Sell-off?
Will ‘Eerie Parallels’ Emerge in Feb/March ’26… Right on Schedule?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.