Bitcoin Fulfills Initial Downside Targets; Portends Bounce to ~97K Before Jan/Feb ’26 Plunge.
11-29-25 – “Stock Indices remain focused on the first two weeks of December ’25 as a pivotal time… indexes are validating multi-week cycle highs that projected a series of peaks in late-July, late-Sept & late-Nov ’25 as well as late-Jan ’26. The sequence of 1 – 2-week rallies & declines – that have occurred in the interim – are reinforcing signs of a topping phase in equities.
Contrasting the S+P 500 & NQ-100, which have rallied but not yet turned their daily trends up, the Russell 2000 & S+P Midcap 400 are poised to retest Oct’ 25 highs in line with their weekly trend indicators and daily uptrends…
Bitcoin & Ether have rebounded after fulfilling a pair of critical downside objectives – one in price and one in time. Since the early-October peak in Bitcoin, the outlook was for a sharp decline into the week of Nov 17 – 21st, ’25 AND a sharp drop to ~80,000/BTC during its primary decline.
On Nov 21st, Bitcoin spiked below 81,000 (80,742/BT intraday low) and fulfilled both.
That powerfully validates multi-year cycles that peaked in 4Q ’25 and projected a major decline to unfold in Bitcoin & cryptos, beginning in Nov ’25. That ~4-year cycle portends at least a 3 – 6-month decline… and potentially longer. This drop also validates the July ’25 cycle peak in major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.).
They were projected to bounce… Initial resistance is near 97,000 with more significant resistance near 99,000/BTC.“
Bitcoin & cryptos fulfilled early-October sell signals and projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT) – when an initial multi-week low was expected. This action reinforces the focus on 1Q ’26 (after stock index cycles peak in late-Jan ’26) for a more convincing plunge in cryptos… and then tech stocks in Feb and/or March ‘26.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that should spur an initial drop in crypto prices in 4Q 2025 and then a second drop in 1Q ’26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26. ~70K is next (minimum) downside target… after bounce to ~97K.
The initial plunge in Bitcoin was projected to be an omen of what is likely to follow in late-Jan/early-Feb ’26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions. One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Why Does Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Sell-off Portend Feb. ’26 Plunge?
Will ‘Eerie Parallels’ Emerge in Feb/March ’26… in Sync with Analysis?
What is Seismic Shift Projected for 4Q 2025/1Q 2026?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.