Bitcoin & NQ-100 Focus on Eerie Parallels in 1Q ‘26; Late-Jan/Early-Feb = Danger Period!
01-03-26 – “Stock Indices have fulfilled ~year-long cycle expectations for multi-month highs to stretch into Dec ’25… ~2-Year & ~4-Year Cycle Progressions converge in January ’26.
The three primary indexes are corroborating this. The S+P 500, as detailed last week, was tracing out a weekly ‘ricochet’ pattern and was poised to drop to 6868/ESH this past week. That is precisely what the S+P 500 did, spiking to an intra-week low of 6866/ESH. In most cases, an accelerated follow-through drop is expected.
At the same time, the DJIA reinforced weekly HLS synergy – creating 3 of the latest 4 weekly HLS levels at 46,791 – 46,924/DJIA. That is now a 1 – 2 week (extreme) downside target.
The NQ-100 continues to trace out a multi-month top and weekly 21 MAC reversal sequence while increasing the synergy of downside targets near 23,250/NQH. That was just reinforced by the monthly HLS for Jan ’26 – at 23,224/NQH.
That 21 MAC sequence began with the initial, Oct/Nov sell-off that dropped right to the rising weekly 21 Low MAC. That spurred a reactive ‘b’ wave rally back above the weekly 21 High MAC. The Dec 10th high ushered in the ‘c’ or ‘3’ wave decline that just closed below the 21 High MAC…
Bitcoin & Ether have consolidated after completing initial rallies from their projected lows on Nov 17 – 21st, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BTC). The recent rally saw Ether rebound 50% of its late-Oct – Nov decline while attacking its mid-Oct low – both key levels of intermediate resistance… they have failed to follow-through to the downside so a key cycle on Jan 5 – 9th – a ~3-month/~90-degree move from the Oct 6th peak – could time a multi-week high or low, depending on which spike occurs first.“
Bitcoin & cryptos are focused on the likelihood for a more impactful decline to take hold after stock index Cycle Progressions peak in late-Jan ’26. Bitcoin fulfilled early-October sell signals & projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT)… and was projected to rebound to at least 97,000/BTC before a new plunge takes hold in Jan/Feb ’26.
Almost a year ago, in February ’25, INSIIDE Track highlighted an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that were/are expected to reach fruition in 2026 (likely in 1Q/2Q ’26) and would be validated by an initial plunge in crypto prices in 4Q 2025. That would set the stage for a second drop surrounding late-Jan ‘26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26. ~70K is the next (minimum) downside target… with two other targets well below that.
The initial plunge in Bitcoin was projected to be an omen of what is likely to follow in 1Q ‘26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions. One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that were forecast to turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 – and accelerate lower in 1Q ’26 – as a ~4-year cycle goes through a major downward shift:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Can Bitcoin Still Reach ~97K Before Next Plunge?
How Did Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Sell-offs Presage Jan/Feb. ’26 Sell-off?
Will ‘Eerie Parallels’ Emerge in Feb/March ’26… Right on Schedule?
Future highs in Jan ’26 & April ’26 likely. See current Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for the most updated analysis.