Bitcoin on Track for Bounce to ~97K… and Then 1Q ’26 Plunge to ~70K!

12-10-25 – “The daily & intra-month trends continue to influence price action through the start of this month.

Bonds & Notes turned their intra-month trends down and dropped to monthly support – the primary downside target for an intra-month downtrend.  At the same time, they attacked weekly support… and are trying to reverse higher.

Stock indices maintained daily uptrends and turned their intra-month trends up, leading to rallies into the current period (though warning signs are mounting).

Silver turned its intra-month trend up and surged to monthly resistance – the upside target for that intra-month uptrend (while attacking major, multi-year upside range targets in the process).

Meanwhile, Gold repeatedly failed to turn its intra-month AND daily trends up – ushering in the potential for a sharp sell-off now that Silver has reached key upside targets at 62 – 63.00/SI.

The month-opening ranges and prevailing intra-month trends should continue to influence these markets… but they are just a backdrop to other key indicators that often provide more specific signals…

Stock Indices remain in multi-week uptrends and are still trading near their highs with most indexes turning their intra-month trends up and extending these rallies into the current time frame…

Bitcoin & Ether fulfilled analysis for initial rallies into Dec 4 – 8th after fulfilling decisive downside objectives – one in price and one in time – during the month of November ’25.

At that time, Bitcoin fulfilled multi-month projections for a drop into the week of Nov 17 – 21st, ’25 AND a plunge to ~80,000/BTC during that primary decline.

That ushered in a projected multi-week bottom that could morph into a multi-month low.  However, lower lows are ultimately expected.

At the same time, that Oct/Nov sell-off powerfully validated multi-year cycles that peaked in 4Q ’25 and that projected a major decline to unfold in Bitcoin & cryptos, beginning in Nov ’25.

Bitcoin remains below initial resistance (~97,000/BT) but could see an additional spike high…“

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Bitcoin & cryptos fulfilled early-October sell signals & projections for sharp declines into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 (and to ~80,000/BT).  That was/is projected to spur a rebound to at least 97,000/BTC before a second plunge takes hold in Jan/Feb ’26… and potentially spills over into other markets.

In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of ‘eerie parallels’ that should spur an initial drop in crypto prices in 4Q 2025 and then a second drop in 1Q ’26 – all leading into a unique monthly Cycle Progression low in 2Q ‘26.  ~70K is the next (minimum) downside target.

The initial plunge in Bitcoin was projected to be an omen of what is likely to follow in 1Q ‘26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions.  One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle goes through a major downward shift:

17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts

40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar

40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process

 

Why Should Bitcoin Reach ~97K Before Next Plunge?

Why Did Nov ‘25 Bitcoin & Stock Index Sell-offs Portend Jan/Feb. ’26 Sell-off?

Will ‘Eerie Parallels’ Emerge in Feb/March ’26… Right on Schedule?

   

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.