Bitcoin Poised for Final Spike High During 4Q ’25 Cycle Peak… and Drop into Nov 17 – 21st Cycle Low.
10-01-25 – “The Dollar Index has retreated without neutralizing its daily uptrend after surging into Sept 25th while confirming a multi-week low. The unfolding ‘c’ wave advance remains capable of rallying back to/above 101.00/DXZ before it is complete.
From a weekly wave (timing) perspective, the Dollar’s 24-week decline should be followed by a rebound of ~15 weeks – a .618 rebound in time. That would extend the overall rally into the week of Oct 13 – 20, ‘25. If the perceived ‘c’ wave bounce matches the duration of the ‘a’ wave rebound, it would also last into ~mid-Oct ’25 (~Oct 17).
The weekly LHR indicator concurs.
The Euro is reinforcing the outlook for a ‘c’ wave decline that was forecast to create corrective wave symmetry – with a pair of 4-week declines separated by a ~7-week rebound (1.618 times the 4-week declines). The ‘b’ wave high arrived on schedule and the ‘c’ wave decline is underway.
The Euro is still expected to decline ~15 weeks from its July 1st high (.618 of its 24-week rally) – into mid-Oct. That would also perpetuate an ~11-week low-low-low-(low; Oct 13 – 20, ‘25) Cycle Progression in the Euro. A daily close below 1.1750/E6Z would likely trigger a negative daily 21 MAC sequence and spur a new decline…
Bitcoin & Ether are struggling to follow-through to the downside and remain in a multi-month trading range near their highs. During their recent declines, they neutralized the weekly uptrends but would not turn them down until weekly closes below 107,000/ BTC & 3,800/ETH. Until that occurs, there is a risk of a retest of the highs.“
Bitcoin maintains the potential for a final spike high – ideally attacking & holding 125 – 127,000/BTC, where a myriad of major & multi-year upside targets, wave objectives & intra-year extreme levels collide and portend a Major peak. That has been the (published) upside target range for many months. October 6 – 10th is the midpoint of weekly Cycle Progressions that project the next low for Nov 17 – 21, ’25.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of parallels that should/would come into focus in 4Q 2025, when related cycles are projecting a major shift in many financial and currency-related markets… as well as stock indexes, interest rates and energy markets. That is when the first big sell-off in Bitcoin is most likely… potentially after one final spike high.
One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Have Crypto Stocks Peaked? Is Bitcoin on Verge of Major Top?
Why Do Bitcoin’s Weekly & Monthly Trends Project Spike High?
Why is Seismic Shift Expected in 4Q 2025?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.