Bitcoin Poised for New Plunge as Stocks Set Oct 28/29th Peaks; Focus on Nov 17 – 21st!
11-01-25 – “The Dollar, Euro & Yen are fulfilling the outlook for a new Dollar rally… Stock Indices remain in overall uptrends but mixed on a 1 – 2 week basis. The DJTA remains the weakest and has gone the longest since setting its intra-year peak in July ’25. It needs a weekly close below 15,054/DJTA, however, to turn its weekly trend down.
The ‘most bullish index’ has alternated, based on what criteria are used to define that. The DJIA, S+P 500 & NQ-100 maintain strong uptrends and rallied into Oct 28/29th and fulfilled a 13 – 14 trading day high-low-high-high Cycle Sequence.
The S+P Midcap 400 is more mediocre – remaining in a ~2.5-month trading range that has support at the Aug 21st & Oct 10th lows.
If it can give a daily, and then weekly, close below the Oct 10th low, the S+P Midcap 400 would signal a larger-magnitude top with the potential for a larger overall correction into early- Dec ’25 – the next phase of the ~8-month low-low Cycle Progression that timed the early-April low.
It also has at least one similarity to the DJTA in that the second half of Nov ’25 is the most likely time for the direction of the weekly 21 MAC to turn down (due to the rising but inversely-correlated 21 MARC). The current level of the actual weekly 21 Low MAC will be right at the level of the Oct 10th low (~3160/IDX) in the coming week, making it exponentially more significant.
It would not be surprising to see the Midcap extend its current sell-off into Nov 7/10th – 7 months from the April 7/8th lows – and then set a subsequent low around Dec 8 – 10th.
That would coincide with the DJTA focus on early-Dec ’25 – when a low would fulfill 8-month & 4-month low-low-(low) Cycle Progressions, a ~2-month/~9-week high-high-low-low-low-low-(
Stock indices are mixed with the IDX turning its daily trend down as it fulfills the potential for a late-Oct/early-Nov sell-off that could break below the Oct 10th low (and stretch into Nov 7/10th).
The more bullish NQ-100 fulfilled projections for a rally into Oct 28/29th – perpetuating a 13 – 14 trading day high-low-high-high Cycle Sequence. It has initially reversed lower but would not turn its daily trend down – and confirm a 1 – 2 week peak – until a daily close below 25,853/NQZ…
The Dollar Index is fulfilling analysis for a ‘c’ wave advance with initial resistance at 99.50 – 100.08/DXZ and a more likely upside objective above 101.00/DXZ (101.36/DXZ is the weekly LHR for the coming week).
The Dollar Index closed above its weekly 21 High MAC up for the second consecutive week while turning the direction of that average higher. That also coincided with the Dollar Index turning its weekly trend up.
All of those factors reinforce this is a larger-magnitude rally, stemming from the early-July ’25 bottom. However, they also identify the coming week as the ideal one for an initial multi-week top and reactive pullback to take hold.
The Euro is tracing out an opposing ‘c’ wave decline that should make it to 1.1380/E6Z or lower. Reinforcing that, the coming week’s HLS (extreme downside target) is at 1.1386/E6Z for the 2nd week out of the latest 3.
The Aug & Sept ’24 highs (resistance turned into support), a primary wave target (new decline equals Sept/Oct decline), and the monthly 21 High MAC are at ~1.1340 – 1.1360/E6Z and represent likely (initial) downside targets…
Bitcoin & Ether continue to correct after Bitcoin attacked & held major upside targets (~122,000 – 127,000/BT) while perpetuating multiple Cycle Progressions. It continues to hold its July ’25 peak (despite spiking above it) – a cycle when major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.) set major peaks and turned decisively down.
Ether set a divergent peak in late-August – fulfilling its multi-year upside wave target and a precise 38-week low-high-high-(high: Aug 25 – 29, ’25) Cycle Progression. An initial decline into Nov 7th appears likely.“
Bitcoin is corroborating early-October sell signals and reinforcing the likelihood for a sharp decline into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 that is likely to coincide with a plunge in stock indexes as well. Most stock indexes are pinpointing Nov 17 – 24th as the most likely time for an accelerated sell-off to take hold, in sync with their weekly 21 MACs & 21 MARCs as well as cycles bottoming in early-December ’25.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of parallels that should/would come into focus in 4Q 2025, when related cycles have been projecting a major shift in many financial and currency-related markets… as well as stock indexes, interest rates and energy markets. That (now) is when the first big sell-off in Bitcoin is most likely… leading into the second half of November ’25. Stocks are now similar.
One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Are Bitcoin & Crypto Stocks Poised for Accelerated Declines?
Why Are Bitcoin & Stock Indexes Focused on Nov 17 – 21st for Plunge?
What is Seismic Shift Projected for 4Q 2025?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.