Bitcoin Projects New All-Time Highs (& Late-’25 Shift) as Stocks Confirm April ’25 Lows.

04/29/25 – “The year 2025 has been forecast to time a host of dramatic ’shifts’ – many linked to the uncanny 17-Year Cycle.  That cycle is closely connected to the magnetic swings in and between the Sun & Earth – corroborated by several scientific discoveries of the past two decades.

As such, it has an oversized impact on mass emotional & psychological swings on Earth.  That is what technical analysis is based on – measuring trends and shifts in mass psychology (as reflected in the markets).

In recent years, INSIIDE Track described why 4Q 2024 (17 years from the 4Q 2007 peak in the stock market) should usher in another major peak in equity markets and trigger 20 – 50% declines in 2025.  (See https://www.insiidetracktrading.com/17-year-cycle/  for related publications.)…

 

‘Shadow Casting’

As 2025 began to unfold, the focus turned to late-March/early-April ’25 as the most likely time for the culmination of an initial 3 – 6 month plunge – a plunge that was forecast to fulfill the minimum 17-Year Cycle-related declines.  If fulfilled, that would ‘cast shadows ahead’ to future cycles in 2025/2026…

Almost every index continued to reinforce projections for at least 20 – 25% declines in the first half of 2025 with the overwhelming majority showing that objective would likely be met by/in early-April 2025.

Daily & weekly cycles corroborated this outlook – pinpointing the first week of April as the ideal time for that initial low to take hold.  So, what transpired?

 

Initial Fulfillment

Stock Indices precisely fulfilled those projections, plunging in spectacular fashion while reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a majority of a price move occurs at the end of a cycle in a blow-off type decline).

Daily, weekly & inter-month cycles identified April 3rd/4th/7th as the 3-day period with the greatest synergy of cycles for a multi-week bottom (the Weekly Re-Lay detailed this analysis in advance).

The DJTA, which had been described as being in a more bearish setup (and which has never returned to the high it set in Nov 2021), was projected to see a larger decline and reached the 30% decline threshold in sync with those cycle lows.

On an arithmetic basis, the DJTA generated the largest 3 – 6 month decline in its history – further validating this uncanny 17-Year Cycle.

Its ~5,300/DJTA point plunge is larger than the 2022 plunge… larger than the 2020 plunge… and larger than the late-2018 plunge.

The S+P Midcap 400 has been a leading index in this sell-off and attacked its third downside range target – the target for 2Q 2025 – near 2575/IDX (see chart on page 5, updated from similar IDX Range-Trading Target charts published in 4Q 2024).

It was forecast to drop right to its initial target (~3125/IDX) in late-2024 and to its primary 3 – 6 month downside range target (~2850/IDX) in mid-March.  After fulfilling both of those downside range targets, the IDX rallied into March 25th – when it also turned lower as the new Natural Year began.

That projected a retest of its ~2850/IDX range support and – whenever that was ultimately broken – a plunge to the next range target at ~2575/IDX.  The S+P Midcap attacked that objective (2575/IDX) on April 7th, reinforcing the potential for a significant bottom on April 3 – 7th.

 

‘Magnificent’ Stocks

Some of the leading – and most closely followed – stocks also fulfilled this 17-Year Cycle analysis.  As of April 7, 2025, these are a few of the results:

TSLA – Down 56% from Dec ‘24 peak.

NVDA – Down 43% from Nov ‘24/Jan ’25 peak.

AMD – Down 56% from Oct ‘24 peak.

AAPL – Down 35% from Dec ‘24 peak.

META- Down 35% from Feb ‘25 peak.

AMZN – Down 33% from Feb ‘25 peak.

MSFT – Down 24% from Dec ‘24 peak.

MU – Down 46% from Sept/Oct ‘24 peaks.

GOOGL – Down 32% from Feb ‘25 peak.

 

Magnificent Cycles

Most indexes set their intraday lows on April 7th after fulfilling a myriad of downside objectives.  On a monthly chart basis, all the indexes had traced out the ideal sequence for an impending multi-month low with their April 3/4th plunges…

When a market is heading into a low (daily, wkly or monthly), it will usually accelerate to a HLS level, hit and hold that level on the close of that period, and then spike down to the LLS in the subsequent period – when a more significant low is most likely.

On a monthly basis, almost every major index accomplished that after plunging to monthly HLS levels in March ’25 and setting the stage for a drop to the monthly LLS in April, when a multi-month bottom would be most likely.

Those LLS levels came into play at 38,222/DJIA, 5165/ESM, 17,267/NQM, 2637/IDX, 1824/QRM & 12,750/DJTA.  (This was described repeatedly in the Weekly Re-Lay before the lows were set.)

All of these were tested on April 4th – in the midst of the ideal time for an early-April low – setting the stage for a final spike low on April 7th. 

That was corroborated by a myriad of timing indicators focused on April 3 – 7th, including a DJIA ~9-week/~2-month low-high-high-high-high-high-high-(low; April 1 – 7) Cycle Progression (also in other indexes) and the ubiquitous ~8-month cycle from the Aug 5, ’24 low (projecting a low on April 4/7th).

In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (the same cycle that timed a series of highs in the S+P Midcap, culminating on Nov 22/25, ’24 and projecting this 4 – 5-month plunge) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123d low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle – projecting a bottom on April 7th.

A low on April 3rd/4th/7th would perpetuate a geometric ~1-month/~90-degree cycle that already timed lows in the first 3 – 5 trading days of August, Sept, Oct & Nov ’24 (with a contrasting high set in early-Dec ’24) and Feb ’25.

Stocks fulfilled the potential for a very significant bottom on April 3 – 7th after reaching all those downside price targets.  They were/are expected to rebound to their late-March ‘25 highs – 4th wave of lesser degree resistance in most of them…

Bitcoin & Ether are widely divergent… as Bitcoin has maintained its weekly & monthly up trends and was/is projected to retest its all-time high. A peak could be seen in [reserved for subscribers]”   TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK


Bitcoin is reinforcing signs of a new surge after fulfilling analysis for a bottom near ~74,500/BT (74,496/BT was April 7th low) and maintaining positive weekly & monthly trends, triggering a revealing buy signal on April 9th.  The April low coincided with the fulfillment of stock market declines as powerful cycles bottomed and portended new multi-month rallies.

July ’25 is the next phase of an uncanny 16-month Cycle Progression in Bitcoin when a multi-month peak is expected.  It is also the next phase of corroborating ~6-month & ~11-month Cycle Progressions.  Bitcoin’s weekly & monthly trends argue for a rally to new all-time highs by/in 4Q ’25.  (Other cryptos – like Litecoin, Doge & Solana turned their monthly trends down, so secondary highs are likely in July ‘25.)

See the November ’24 issue of The Bridge for additional analysis and illustrations of this 16-month cycle and its focus on July 2025…

The Bridge – “Currency War: Rock, Paper, Scissors II”

 

Will Bitcoin Reach New All-Time Highs by/in July ‘25?

How are Stock Index Monthly Trends Corroborating?

Could 2025 See Major Top in Bitcoin & Crypto Stocks?

   

Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.