Bitcoin, Stocks & 17-Year Cycle Collisions; Early-April ’25 is Key!
03/31/25 – “2025 is already validating, confirming, and/or fulfilling a great deal of related 17-Year Cycle analysis. That unique cycle is intimately connected to the magnetic swings in the Sun, Earth and the geomagnetic oscillations between the two… impacting mass emotional & psychological swings on our planet.
While this is not the type of cycle that one can typically use to trade a specific market, it does provide a powerful foundation on which to formulate related expectations.
For the past 2 – 3 years, INSIIDE Track has described why 4Q 2024 (17 years from 4Q 2007) should usher in a major peak in stock indexes and lead to 20 – 50% declines in various stocks in 2025.
INSIIDE Track also described – in great detail – why 2025/2026 was a VERY likely time (with 90+% historical accuracy) for the next major recession.
Along with that, INSIIDE Track detailed why this next recession was cyclically very likely to include ’stagflation’ – the worst of both worlds (economic retrenchment but inflating commodity prices).
All of that was detailed long before the past 2 – 3 months, when the mainstream media – including economists – suddenly started discussing both.
INSIIDE Track also described a unique 17-Year Cycle correlation to earth disturbance swarms and volcanic eruption cycles that are most likely to emerge in 2025 – 2027. Recent events – coinciding with the start of a new Natural Year (the time when natural shifts routinely occur) – could be signaling the onset of that expected instability.
A Rus’ by Any Other Name
The 17-Year Cycle impacts many aspects of life… as it well should. That impact is usually heightened when mass psychology is involved – financial, social or geopolitical. That is why it is no surprise it has continued to pinpoint significant shifts involving Russia – in its pre, mid, and post-USSR history.
For now, let’s just examine the last ~century and some uncanny parallels to the past ~decade:
1906 – Russian Constitution of 1906 establishes monarchy (following Russo/Japanese War as well as Bloody Sunday Massacre & Russian Revolution of 1905… which lasted until 1907).
1923 – Russian Civil War ends with Red Army victorious; USSR origin.
1940 – USSR invades Latvia, Lithuania & Estonia (on June 22, 1941, Germany invaded USSR).
1957 – Oct 4, 1957 – Sputnik I launched into orbit (Oct 4, 2025 = 68 years later); middle of Soviet nuclear tests in 1956 – 1958 (9 in 1956, 16 in 1957, 36 in 1958, 57 in 1961). Ushers in 17-Year Cycle of peak ‘competition’ between US & USSR.
1974 – Moscow Summit (June 28-July 1) following Yom Kippur War of 1973 when US & USSR came close to direct conflict; Nixon addresses Soviet citizens on July 2, 1974. Culmination of 17-Year Cycle of peak US/USSR adversarial relationship.
1991 – Dissolution of USSR – Dec 26, 1991.
2008 – Russian invasion of Georgia; Begins 17 Year Cycle of new Russian ‘expansion’ by invading neighbors and trying to reform USSR.
2025 – End of new expansion? Shift of expansion? New détente?? Stay tuned…
Stock Indices plunged into late-March ’25, fulfilling a myriad of cycles and downside wave & price targets as they steadily confirm the latest phase of the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Peaks… the first major decline was forecast to last into late-March/early-April with the S+P Midcap 400 leading the way.
That was the index that helped project a sharp surge in Oct/Nov ’24. That was the index that helped project a 3 – 6-month (or longer) peak on Nov 22/25, 2024.
That index precisely fulfilled that outlook and peaked on Nov 25th, along with the Russell 2000 & DJTA… and a myriad of related stocks. It was then the index that helped project a secondary multi-month peak for January 22/23rd and a subsequent plunge… The action of the past week has corroborated that.
Setup
The March 28th action has powerfully reinforced this outlook and sets the stage for a final spike low… that could lead to a sizeable bounce in April. While the shorter-term analysis will be detailed in Weekly Re-Lay publications, it is critical to keep focus on the potential for another wave down after a multi-week bounce has transpired.
An initial low in March/April ‘25 would fulfill the convergence of multiple cycles & Cycle Progressions that includes an 18/19-month low-low-(low) Cycle Progression, a 2-Year Cycle (DJIA peaked in late-Nov ’22 & sold off into March ’23) and an annual cycle that timed intra-year lows during the month of March in 2020, 2023 & 2024…
The Dollar Index has dropped sharply after fulfilling ongoing expectations – described since Sept ’24 – for a secondary peak in January ‘25. It peaked in mid-Jan. – completing back-to-back advances of equal duration (16 weeks each) and perpetuating an ~8-week low-low-high-low-high Cycle Sequence.
On a longer-term basis, the January ’25 peak is corroborating the potential for a 2025 sell-off AND the possibility for a 6 – 12 month or multi-year low to take hold in late-2025. In order to fulfill that, the Dollar Index would have to fulfill a number of technical and cyclical criteria along the way. One of those would be to drop below the mid-2023 low and confirm a larger-magnitude decline.
Here are a few timing factors that could usher in a decisive low in 4Q 2025… ideally in November ’25:
– A drop into November 2025 would create a form of wave symmetry with the Dollar Index declining for ~10 months – from its January ’25 high – and matching the ~10-month duration of the Sept ’22 – July ’23 decline.
– A low in Nov ’25 would fulfill a ~14-month low (July ’23) – low (Sept ’24) – (low; Nov ’25) Cycle Progression.
– A low in 4Q ’25 would fulfill a broader ~9-quarter low (2Q ’21) – low (3Q ’23) – (low; 4Q ’25) Cycle Progression.
– Other timing relationships & indicators point to 4Q ’25 as the ideal time for a 1 – 2 year low…
Bitcoin & Ether did precisely what was forecast for 1Q 2025 – plunging first into early-Feb ’25 and then into early-March ’25 – when a 1 – 2 month low was most likely to take hold.”
Bitcoin is showing some signs of bottoming but is still expected to attack ~74,500/BT before a multi-month bottom becomes more likely. This could coincide with a final stock market spike low in early-April ’25 – when powerful cycles bottom. Stocks & cryptos are setting the stage for a decisive low to be set during the first ‘month’ of the new Natural Year – between March 20 – April 19, ’25 – with a final capitulating sell-off still possible in equities in early-April ’25.
That would then turn the focus to future cycle highs – in July & Nov/Dec ’25. Bitcoin’s cycles peak again in late-July ’25 – the next phase of its uncanny 16-month Cycle Progression that has been repeatedly highlighted over the past couple years. It is also the next phase of corroborating ~6-month & ~11-month Cycle Progressions.
See the November ’24 issue of The Bridge for additional analysis and illustrations of this 16-month cycle and its focus on July 2025… The Bridge – “Currency War: Rock, Paper, Scissors II”
When Will Bitcoin Likely Attack ~74.500/BT (and Bottom)?
How High Could Cryptos Subsequently Climb into July ’25 Cycle High?
What Impact Should Early-April Stock Market Cycle Lows Have?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.