Bitcoin & Tech Stocks Project Sharp Sell-offs into Nov 17 – 21st! 1Q ’26 Sell-off Likely.
11-06-25 – “Stock Indices are in daily downtrends except, ironically, the DJTA. Most of those indexes rebounded right to their daily LHR levels on Nov 5th – without neutralizing their new daily downtrends. That ushered in the potential for another downturn today (Nov 6th) and the increased potential for an accelerated sell-off to follow.
It would take daily closes below their Nov 4th lows to confirm that and signal new weakness. That would turn the new intra-month trends down and – in most cases – also have stock indexes close below their flattening daily 21 Low MACs. The S+P 500 & NQ-100 just accomplished that today so they have already turned their new intra-month trends down…
As described in the November ’25 INSIIDE Track (and March ’25 INSIIDE Track & Feb 19, ’25 Weekly Re-Lay Alert… and many other publications), late-2025 was/is the time when dramatic shifts were expected in the markets with one of those being a new and significant sell-off in Bitcoin that would test the link between cryptos and stocks.
Among the projected shifts were/are:
- Stocks reversing lower with some indexes already setting their 2025 peaks.
- Gold & Silver selling off after peaking in October ‘25
- Dollar cycles turning positive in Nov & Dec ‘25
- Crypto cycles turning negative in 4Q ’25 (after setting new all-time highs)
To different degrees, each of those projected shifts has taken hold – with some of the related moves being more substantial than others. Stocks are yet to signal a multi-month peak but have been expected to see a quick sharp drop that could stretch into Nov 10th – linked to the Oct 10th spike low and April 8/9th lows. If Bitcoin fulfills its multi-month outlook – for a drop to/below 80,000/BT – the impact on stocks should be revealing…
Bitcoin & Ether continue to decline after Bitcoin attacked & held major upside targets (~125,000 – 127,000/BT) while perpetuating multiple Cycle Progressions. It continues to hold its July ’25 peak (despite spiking above it) – a cycle when major Bitcoin-related stock cycles (COIN, MSTR, etc.) set major peaks and turned decisively down.
Ether set a divergent peak in late-Aug – fulfilling its multi-year upside wave target and a 38-week low-high-high-(high: Aug 25 – 29, ’25) Cycle Progression.
An initial decline into Nov 7/10th has been expected and additional downside could be seen in the coming day(s). Multiple weekly cycles could extend that decline into Nov 14 – 21, ‘25… depending on the price action of the coming days.“
Bitcoin is fulfilling early-October sell signals and increasing the likelihood for a sharp decline into Nov 17 – 21, ’25 – to its initial multi-month target near 80,000/BT. The NQ-100 corroborates that and projects an initial low on Nov 17 – 24, ’25.
In February ’25, INSIIDE Track reiterated an intriguing set of parallels that should/would come into focus in 4Q 2025, when related cycles have been projecting a major shift in many markets. That (now) is when the first big sell-off in Bitcoin has been most likely… leading into the second half of November ’25. If fulfilled, that would provide a powerful precursor to future action in late-Jan/early-Feb ’26 – in line with stock index 2-Year & 4-Year Cycle Progressions.
One of the keys to this involved Bitcoin cycles that should turn dramatically lower in Nov/Dec ’25 as a ~4-year cycle reverses:
17-Year Cycle & 4-Shadow: 4Q 2025 Shifts
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin vs US Dollar
40-Year Cycle of Currency War: Bitcoin Peaking Process
Why Are Bitcoin & Stock Indexes Focused on Nov 17 – 21st for Plunge?
What is Seismic Shift Projected for 4Q 2025/1Q 2026?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.