Gold Remains Strong as Silver (& Stocks) Enter Pivotal Period and New Danger Zone.

03-29-25 – 17YC Collisions – 2025 is already validating, confirming, and/or fulfilling a great deal of related 17-Year Cycle analysis.  That unique cycle is intimately connected to the magnetic swings in the Sun, Earth and the geomagnetic oscillations between the two… impacting mass emotional & psychological swings on our planet.

While this is not the type of cycle that one can typically use to trade a specific market, it does provide a powerful foundation on which to formulate related expectations.

For the past 2 – 3 years, INSIIDE Track has described why 4Q 2024 (17 years from 4Q 2007) should usher in a major peak in stock indexes and lead to 20 – 50% declines in various stocks in 2025.

INSIIDE Track also described – in great detail – why 2025/2026 was a VERY likely time (with 90+% historical accuracy) for the next major recession.

Along with that, INSIIDE Track detailed why this next recession was cyclically very likely to include ’stagflation’ – the worst of both worlds (economic retrenchment but inflating commodity prices).

All of that was detailed long before the past 2 – 3 months, when the mainstream media – including economists – suddenly started discussing both.

INSIIDE Track also described a unique 17-Year Cycle correlation to earth disturbance swarms and volcanic eruption cycles that are most likely to emerge in 2025 – 2027.  Recent events – coinciding with the start of a new Natural Year (the time when natural shifts routinely occur) – could be signaling the onset of that expected instability.

A Rus’ by Any Other Name

The 17-Year Cycle impacts many aspects of life… as it well should.  That impact is usually heightened when mass psychology is involved – financial, social or geopolitical.  That is why it is no surprise it has continued to pinpoint significant shifts involving Russia – in its pre, mid, and post-USSR history…

Gold & Silver remain divergent – from a wave & weekly trend perspective – with Silver stuck in a 6+-month trading range.  Both metals fulfilled multi-month cycle highs in late-October ’24 and entered what was projected to be a corrective/consolidation phase in preparation for a new impulse wave higher in 2025.

During the ensuing correction, Gold could only neutralize its weekly uptrend – leaving it in positive territory and on track for new highs (sooner than Silver) in the first half of 2025.  In contrast, Silver turned its weekly trend down – signaling a higher-magnitude peak was in place & a more complex correction should unfold… even though it could rally back to its Oct ‘24 high as part of that.

The late-Oct ’24 cycle highs included an uncanny ~12.5 month/~54-week high-high-low (Aug ’21) – low (Sept ’22) – low (Oct ’23) – (high; late-Oct 2024) Cycle Progression that projected a future 3 – 6 month peak for Oct/Nov 2025.

The midpoint of that cycle – a 27 – 28-week cycle – projects an intervening Gold peak for [reserved for subscribers]… the fulfillment of a ~28-week low-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression.  That remains the outlook for the coming months as Gold remains in daily, weekly, monthly & yearly uptrends (rallying to new highs in what is likely a wave ‘5’ of ‘5’ a 5-wave advance from its Nov ‘25 low).

Silver remains in a ~6-month congestion phase but has neutralized its weekly downtrend twice – ushering in a pivotal time… From a wave perspective, Silver could still be in a larger-magnitude ‘A-B-C’ correction with the Dec ‘24 – March ‘25 rally representing the ‘B’ wave advance of a flat correction (similar highs & lows).

However, the overriding outlook remains that Gold & Silver are in broader bullish trends and their outlook remains positive.  Gold & Silver perpetuated a ~7-year low (4Q ‘01) – low (4Q ‘08) – low (4Q ‘15) – low (4Q ‘22) Cycle Progression in October ‘22 and have been projected to undergo a multi-year advance into 2026 or later.

The XAU & HUI remain in weekly uptrends and spiked above their October ’24 peaks – a decisive level (on a weekly close basis) for the 3 – 6 month trend.  That reinforces its ongoing, multi-year uptrend.  On a 3 – 6 month basis, the XAU remains on track for a future high in mid-June ’25.

The XAU surged to the convergence of monthly resistance and extremes (178.20 – 179.60/XAU) and could set a multi-week top at this time.  It rallied for more than half of the latest phase of its 21 – 22-week high-high-low-low-low-(low; Dec 23 – Jan 3, ’25) Cycle Progression, reinforcing the next phase should be a peak – on June 2 – 6, ’25.”


Gold & Silver are reinforcing divergent wave structures with both fulfilling the near-term outlook for a late-March rally.  Silver remains under the influence of its weekly downtrend, projecting a ‘C’ wave decline back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK) before a multi-month correction is complete.  It has now stretched to the upside extreme – based on that weekly trend structure – and enters the week most likely for a reversal lower.  That could usher in the vulnerable 1 – 2 week period that has been discussed the past 1 – 2 months.

Stock indexes have also fulfilled upside/rebound targets and cycle highs, ushering in a very dangerous period.  They have been projected to plunge 20 – 25% leading into early-April ’25 (daily & weekly cycles most synergistic on April 3rd – 7th, ’25) so a Danger Zone remains intact.

The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar.  Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…

Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins

Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation

 

Gold’s mid-November ’24 low projected a subsequent rally into late-April/early-May ’25, which remains on track.  The Dollar peaked in January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a sharp (projected) decline in 2025.  Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fulfilled its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 that could still spike down to decisive support near 74,500/BTC before a bottom takes hold.

See current publications for the most updated analysis.

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Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.