Gold & Silver Diverge as Platinum & Palladium Prep for April ’25 Reversals Higher.
03-30-25 – “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!…
Platinum has been trading in a narrowing range for over 3 years, since its March ‘22 peak spurred a sell-off into its Sept ‘22 low. On a continuous-contract basis, Platinum has not exceeded that March ‘22 high or dropped below that Sept ‘22 low. It subsequently rallied into a (lower) high in April ‘23 and then dropped to a (higher) low in Nov ‘23.
That spurred a rally into a (lower) high in May ‘24 followed by a drop to a (higher) low in Dec ‘24… the time when a more bullish 12 – 18-month cycle began to take hold.
Following that late-Dec ‘24 low, Platinum rallied and turned its weekly trend up – confirming a multi-month bottom while helping to pinpoint the mid-Feb ‘25 peak…
That led to a multi-week reactive sell-off with Platinum twice neutralizing its weekly uptrend… the ideal setup for a secondary (wave ‘2’) low and the onset of a more dynamic and extended advance…
Similarly, Platinum is on the cusp of turning its monthly 21 High MAC up… for the first time since October ‘23. It would only take a rally above 1036.9/PLN – during the month of April ‘25 – to turn that 21 High MAC up and reinforce the over-arching new impulse wave that began in Dec ‘24.
If Platinum rallies… and can give a monthly close above that 21 High MAC (after turning it up), it would generate a very bullish confirmation signal that would likely reverberate for 6 – 12 months to follow.
On a broader basis, Platinum could rally into 2026 – a 50% rebound in time (12 years down/6 years up) and the latest phase of a ~5-year high (2011) – high (2016) – high (2021) – (high; 2026) Cycle Progression that parallels the Silver outlook… it is a good place for traders to be adding to long positions…
Palladium remains above its August ‘24 low and in a constructive weekly trend pattern. It initially surged into late-January and turned its weekly trend up – a lagging indicator that often times an initial high and spurs a multi-week reactive sell-off. That led to a multi-week decline, during which Palladium twice neutralized – but has not turned down – its prevailing weekly uptrend. That portends a rally to new intra-year highs… at the very least.
Its weekly 21 MAC is also nearing the time (April 7 – 11, ‘25) when a reversal higher would become much easier to achieve… That is due to the falling – but inversely-correlated – weekly 21 MARC during the current 3-week period.
On a longer-term basis, Palladium is expected to enter a new bull market in 2025 and stretch that into 3Q 2026 – when the next multi-year peak appears most likely.
A peak in 3Q ‘26 would fulfill a ~5.25-year low-low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progression as well as a .618 rebound in time (39-month decline followed by 24-month rally). An intervening peak in Aug/Sept 2025 would reinforce that scenario.”
Gold & Silver are reinforcing divergent wave structures with both fulfilling the near-term outlook for a late-March rally. Silver remains under the influence of its weekly downtrend, projecting a ‘C’ wave decline back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK) before a multi-month correction is complete.
It has stretched to the upside extreme – based on that weekly trend structure – and enters the week most likely for a reversal lower. That could usher in the vulnerable 1 – 2 week period that has been discussed the past 1 – 2 months. That is also in sync with cycles and the outlook for two other white metals – Platinum & Palladium.
They are about to enter the month (April ‘25) and nearing the week (April 7 – 11, ’25) when cycles and multiple corresponding indicators are expected to turn bullish and reinforce the ongoing outlook for a Major surge in Platinum (and likely Palladium also) in 2025… projected to take hold in April ’25.
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
The Dollar peaked in January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a sharp (projected) decline in 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fulfilled its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 that could still spike down to decisive support near 74,500/BTC before a bottom takes hold.
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