Gold & Silver Retrace into Mid-May Cycle Low; Silver Poised for Major Surge!
05-12-25 – “Gold & Silver continue to correct after surging into the middle half of April with Gold fulfilling its potential for a 1 – 2 month high on April 14 – 25th – the time when a recurring 23 – 24-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression came back into play.
Gold also fulfilled a recurring intra-year pattern in which it has repeatedly set a multi-week or multi-month peak in the middle part of April – in sync with the Week of Aggression (April 12 – 19th) and/or the Date of Aggression (April 19th) – a time when tensions, conflict and/or safe haven ‘needs’ often culminate.
That ushered in the current multi-week corrective phase that could extend into mid-May… Gold has a trio of weekly HLS levels at 3123 – 3169/GCM that could also be tested in May ‘25.
On a broader basis, Silver’s early-April low reached (and bottomed at) its ongoing downside target near 27.60/SIK, fulfilling projections for a ‘C’ wave decline that have been the focus since Dec ‘24.
From a timing perspective, it set a low in April ’25 – fulfilling broader geometric cycles that were/are expected to foreshadow a future peak in ~April 2026.
That low needs to hold in order to validate the outlook for a rally from April into Nov ’25… and ultimately into ~April ’26. Until proven otherwise, that early-April ’25 low is considered to be the major corrective low in Silver that was projected since 4Q ’24.”
Gold & Silver have consolidated after surging into late-April. That followed Silver’s early-April bottom that fulfilled its 3 – 6 month downside objective and projected a multi-month advance to follow. That was in sync with the outlook for Platinum & Palladium as both entered bullish cycles on April 7 – 11th and are expected to surge into June ’25. Recent action also reinforces the 17-Year Cycle impact on Silver.
17-Year Cycle & Silver: April ’25 Low
Gold, in contrast, set what will likely be a multi-month peak in late-April. The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum is on the cusp of a Major advance (along with Silver & Palladium), stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!” The first phase of that should be a sharp rally into the next phase of Platinum’s ~5-week cycle on June 9 – 13, ’25.
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow (into at least 2025/2026 and potentially longer)…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
April 2025 ushered in a new and reinforcing phase of this overall shift and could be the first phase of major rallies in key metals (Platinum & Palladium) and the next phase for Gold & Silver. It also ushered in the time (April – August ’25) when War Cycles could produce some unexpected surprises.
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