Gold, Silver & XAU Pulling Back; Prepare for Future Surge into June ’25 Cycle High.
04-30-25 – “Stock Indices are continuing their rebounds while further reinforcing that a multi-week, and potentially multi-month, bottom took hold on April 7th – the convergence of monthly, weekly & daily cycles and the fulfillment of diverse downside targets.
The April 7th lows were very significant as they saw many indexes attacking 6 – 12 month support zones, 3 – 6 month downside targets, and fulfilling 17-Year Cycle-related projections for 20 – 25% (some 30%) declines leading into early-April…
Gold & Silver surged into the middle half of April with Gold likely fulfilling its potential for a 1 – 2 month high on April 14 – 25th – the time when a recurring 23 – 24-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression came back into play.
Gold also fulfilled a recurring intra-year pattern in which it has set a multi-week or multi-month peak in the middle part of April – in sync with the Week of Aggression (April 12 – 19th) and/or the Date of Aggression (April 19th) – a time when tensions, conflict and/or safe haven ‘needs’ often culminate.
Gold fulfilled the potential for a blow-off top in line with Natural Year ‘opening month’ analysis (portending an initial surge into ~April 19th as an omen of what could follow in 2025).
That provides some guidance for the coming months – in sync with the intra-year outlook for 2025 (rally into late-April/early-May and then rally into Nov ’25) even as it times an initial peak…
The XAU & HUI surged into mid-April and initially peaked – just as they did in mid-April 2023 and in mid-April 2022. Price action also signaled a peak as the XAU surged right to weekly resistance, a monthly LHR and multi-month ranger-trading resistance – all grouped at 196.33 – 199.56/XAU.
The XAU has neutralized its daily uptrend multiple times but would not turn it down until a daily close below 182.13/XAU.”
Gold & Silver are retreating after surging into late-April, following Silver’s early-April (6 – 12 month?) bottom that fulfilled its 3 – 6 month downside objective by testing ~27.60/SIK, its 4th wave of lesser degree support. That was in sync with the outlook for Platinum & Palladium, with both entering bullish cycles on April 7 – 11th and expected to surge into June ’25 as part of larger, overall advances. That reinforces the 17-Year Cycle impact on Silver.
17-Year Cycle & Silver: April ’25 Low
Gold, Silver & the XAU were expected to set initial highs at this time, which would provide preliminary corroboration to the outlook for April ’25 – April ’26. Platinum & Palladium are similar and are projected to enter more significant rallies – leading into the next phase of Platinum’s ~5-week cycle on June 6 – 13, ’25). The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum is on the cusp of a Major advance (along with Silver & Palladium), stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!”
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow (into at least 2025/2026 and potentially longer)…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
April 2025 ushered in a new and reinforcing phase of this overall shift and could be the first phase of major rallies in key metals (Platinum & Palladium) and the next phase for Gold & Silver. See current publications for the most updated analysis.
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Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.