Gold, Silver & XAU Setting Multi-Week Highs; Project Future Highs in June ‘25.
04-26-25 – “Gold & Silver surged into the middle half of April with Gold likely fulfilling its potential for a 1 – 2 month high on April 14 – 25th – the time when a consistent 23 – 24-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression came back into play. Gold also fulfilled a recurring intra-year pattern…
In that annual ~360-degree cycle, Gold has set a multi-week or multi-month peak in the middle part of April – in sync with the Week of Aggression (April 12 – 19th) and/or the Date of Aggression (April 19th) – a time when tensions, conflict and/or safe haven ‘needs’ often culminate.
(Twice it has subsequently spiked above those highs about a month later, setting a final intraday high in May, so that is not out of the question.)
Gold fulfilled the potential for a blow-off top in line with Natural Year ‘opening month’ analysis (portending an initial surge into ~April 19th as an omen of what could follow in 2025).
That provides some guidance for the coming months – in sync with the intra-year outlook for 2025 (rally into late-April/early-May and then rally into Nov ’25) even as it times an initial peak.
That is in lockstep with analysis for another abrupt shift in the ongoing currency battle between paper (fiat), hard (metals), and digital (cryptos) currency.
Bitcoin – and stocks – had already set multi-week lows in early-April and were waiting on Gold & the Dollar Index to complete their recent moves. That likely occurred this past week.
It was also in sync with the ~7-Year Cycle analysis of Gold discussed over the past ~two years. Each time, that analysis has described how Gold’s 2022 – present advance is mirroring key timing aspects of its 2015 – 2020 advance.
In that previous bull market, Gold initially surged into the middle part of 2016 (after bottoming in 4Q 2015) and then set a subsequent peak in April 2018… that held for over a year.
In the current bull market, Gold bottomed in 4Q 2022 (7 years later), initially surged into the middle part of 2023 (7 years later) and was poised to peak in the middle part of April 2025 – 7 years after the April 2018 peak.
That also may have just occurred.
The last few months’ action has reinforced the growing divergence between Gold & Silver. Gold has just set new all-time highs within a couple weeks of Silver setting new intra-year and ~6-month lows. Even as they rally and decline at similar times, the magnitudes of those corresponding moves are widely disparate.
Silver’s early-April low reached (and bottomed at) its ongoing downside target near 27.60/SIK, fulfilling projections for a ‘C’ wave decline that have been the focus since Dec ‘24.
From a timing perspective, it set a low in April ’25 – fulfilling broader geometric cycles that were/are expected to foreshadow a future peak in ~April 2026.
Silver fulfilled analysis for a surge into April 24/25th and came within 1 day of geometric cycles converging on ~April 28th, the recurrence of a ~1-month/~30-degree low (Jan 27) – low (Feb 28) – high (Mar 28) – (high; ~April 28th) Cycle Progression. That could spur a retracement into early-May…
The XAU & HUI surged into mid-April and initially peaked – just as they did in mid-April 2023 and in mid-April 2022. Similar to the metals, the Date of Aggression often times the culmination of a run-up in reaction to some sort of stressor. The bigger point is what that portends for the second half of 2025.
Price action also signaled a peak as the XAU surged right to weekly resistance and a monthly LHR (extreme upside target) grouped at 196.33 – 199.56/XAU, when it set that high. It also spiked up to range-trading resistance near 199.00/XAU – linking previous range parameters (throughout 2023 – present) at ~103 – ~135 – ~167 – ~199/XAU…
Platinum & Palladium initially fulfilled the outlook for lows in the first half of April and a subsequent rally into early-May ‘25 – the next phase of the ~3-month/~90-degree cycle (and midpoint of a related ~6-month/180-degree cycle) that helped pinpoint the early-Feb ’25 peak.
However, Platinum just rallied into a ~5-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and is hesitating. It would take daily closes above the recent highs to confirm the early-April lows and project higher prices into early-May and beyond.”
Gold & Silver have surged after bottoming in early-April as Silver fulfilled what had been projected since December ’24 – a drop to ~27.60/SIK, its 4th wave of lesser degree support. That was in sync with the outlook for Platinum & Palladium, with both entering bullish cycles in early-April and expected to surge into June ’25 as part of larger, overall advances. That also reinforces the 17-Year Cycle impact on Silver.
17-Year Cycle & Silver: April ’25 Low
Gold, Silver & the XAU were expected to set initial highs at this time, which would initially corroborate the outlook for April ’25 – April ’26. Platinum & Palladium are similar and could retrace before entering more significant rallies in 2Q ’25 (the next phase of its ~5-week cycle portends a higher high on June 6 – 13, ’25). The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum is on the cusp of a Major advance, stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!”
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow (into at least 2025/2026 and potentially longer)…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
April 2025 ushered in a new and reinforcing phase of this overall shift and could be the first phase of major rallies in key metals (Platinum & Palladium) and the next phase for Gold & Silver. See current publications for the most updated analysis.
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