Gold & Silver Signaling New Rallies into Late-August ‘25!
08-16-25 – “Gold & Silver are showing signs they could rally into late-August… Gold & Silver remain below their August 8th highs – highs that saw Gold retest its late-July high while Silver set a lower peak.
Both initially sold off after rallying into July 21 – 25th cycle highs and fulfilling ~5-week low-low-low-high-(high; July 21 – 25, ’25) Cycle Progressions with Gold setting a lower high as Silver fulfilled ongoing analysis for a surge to 39.50 – 40.10/SIU or higher.
Silver reached the primary 3 – 6 month upside ‘wave 5’ target while attacking 4 of the latest 5 monthly LHRs – a powerful convergence of extreme upside monthly targets. However, Silver is yet to confirm a multi-month peak – needing the weekly trend to turn down to do so.
That leaves open the potential for additional spike highs with the final week of August timing the next phase of the ~5-week Cycle Progression AND the latest phase of a ~22-week high-high-high-high-high-(
In the past week, Gold dropped right to its weekly HLS (3378/GCZ) while twice neutralizing its daily uptrend… Gold has remained in a weekly uptrend during its entire consolidation phase (since its late-April cycle peak) but keeps closing below and then above (and then below) its rising weekly 21 High MAC. This action also leaves open the potential for another brief rally…
Silver is at a pivotal juncture. Its daily trend and daily 21 MAC could usher in a new wave down after Silver rallied to rebound extremes and set an initial top. However, Silver is having trouble selling off and needs a daily close below 37.50/SIU to validate that recent (secondary) high.
In contrast, Silver remains in an intra-month uptrend and could turn its daily trend back up with a daily close above 38.76/SIU (which would also likely trigger a bullish 21 MAC signal). With Silver re-entering its weekly uptrend, the risk of a rally back to the highs remains substantial.
The XAU & HUI remain in overall uptrends… These indexes have their 2025 yearly LHRs at 249.49/XAU & 511.76/HUI… not much higher than the monthly extremes. The XAU would not turn neutral until a daily close below 218.32.”
Gold & Silver are fulfilling & validating the ongoing outlook for a series of strong rallies in 2025 – first into late-April, then into late-July, and ultimately into Oct/Nov ’25 (ideally, late-Oct/early-Nov ’25). The latest multi-week/multi-month low was/is most likely on August 15 – 19, ’25 – in sync with multi-month Cycle Progressions in Gold. Subsequently, the ensuing phases of Silver’s ~5-week Cycle Progression portend future highs in late-August & early-October ’25.
Platinum & Palladium are similar and are consolidating after fulfilling early-April buy signals and projections for subsequent surges into mid-to-late-July cycle highs. Those highs reinforce future cycle highs in late-Oct ’25 (90 degrees later) and portend a new surge – with intervening support at ~1200/PL & ~1100/PA – leading into that time frame.
Recent action also reinforces the 17-Year Cycle impact on Silver and corroborates the outlook for a MAJOR uptrend in white metals following April ’25 cycle lows…
17-Year Cycle & Silver: April ’25 Low
The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum was/is on the cusp of a Major advance (along with Silver & Palladium), stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!” Related buy signals projected an initial multi-month advance into ~mid-July ’25 and an overall advance into October ’25 (as part of a larger rally into 2026).
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow (into at least 2025/2026 and potentially longer)…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
April 2025 ushered in a new and reinforcing phase of this overall shift and corroborated multiple expectations for April 2025 into April/May 2026.
See current publications for the most updated analysis.
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