Gold & Silver Fulfill Late-Month Rally; Silver (& Stocks) Set for Sell-off.
03-29-25 – “Stock indexes did extend their rebounds into the past week, attacking minimum upside targets with the DJIA reaching its primary upside objective. They turned back down – in sync with weekly/monthly cycles – and are fulfilling the outlook for subsequent declines into late-March/early-April…
Gold & Silver remain positive with Gold remaining in daily, weekly, monthly & yearly uptrends (rallying to new highs in what is likely a wave ‘5’ of ‘5’ a 5-wave advance from its Nov ‘25 low) while Silver reentered its daily uptrend after twice neutralizing it… but not turning it down.
Silver remains in a ~6-month trading range but has neutralized its weekly downtrend twice – ushering in a pivotal time… congestion remains in force in Silver… as it has since the October ’24 peak. Meanwhile, Gold continues to extend its bull market – a multi-year advance that began after its October ’22 low and that was/is projected to last into 2025/2026. That remains on track…
Gold & Silver rallied in sync with their daily trend patterns & intra-month trends. As explained earlier this week, both metals corrected enough to twice neutralize – but not turn down – their daily uptrends.
Combined with that, Silver dropped to the high of its month-opening range (resistance turned into support) and reversed higher.
Both of those indicators projected a late-month rally to new highs as part of the ongoing wave structure. That was reinforced by Gold’s wave structure that projected a final multi-day rally as the ‘5th’ of ‘5th’ of ‘5th’ wave advance from the March 21st low.
Silver’s wave structure from its Feb 28th low was also arguing for a culminating wave ‘v’ rally from the March 21st low. In many cases, the waves ‘1’ & ‘5’ ‘tend toward equality’ – providing at least one upside wave target. Silver just reached that target while Gold is approaching a similar target at ~xxxx/GCM.
The XAU & HUI remain in weekly uptrends and closed above their October ’24 peaks – further confirming the latest 3 – 6 month uptrend. On a broader basis, the XAU remains on track for successive highs in mid-June & mid-Oct ’25.
The XAU would show no signs of peaking until a daily close below 171.50/XAU.”
Gold & Silver are reinforcing divergent wave structures with both fulfilling the near-term outlook for a late-March rally. Silver remains under the influence of its weekly downtrend, projecting a ‘C’ wave decline back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK) before a multi-month correction is complete. It has now stretched to the upside extreme – based on that weekly trend structure – and enters the week most likely for a reversal lower. That could usher in the vulnerable 1 – 2 week period that has been discussed the past 1 – 2 months.
Stock indexes have also fulfilled upside/rebound targets and cycle highs, ushering in a very dangerous period. They have been projected to plunge 20 – 25% leading into early-April ’25 (daily & weekly cycles most synergistic on April 3rd – 7th, ’25) so a Danger Zone remains intact.
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
Gold’s mid-November ’24 low projected a subsequent rally into late-April/early-May ’25, which remains on track. The Dollar peaked in January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a sharp (projected) decline in 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fulfilled its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 that could still spike down to decisive support near 74,500/BTC before a bottom takes hold.
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