Gold Strong; Silver Neutral; Dollar Weak; Stocks Project 20 – 30% Plunge into Early-April!
03-01-25 – “Stock indexes remain on track for overall declines into late-March/early-April as part of a larger setback. While that is based on current cycles & indicators, a drop into late-March would also provide intriguing parallels to 2020 and, of greater import, to 2008… the previous phase of the 17-Year Cycle…
Stock Indices continue to sell off as part of overall declines that could/should last into late-March/early-April ’25. On a monthly basis, the NQ-100 traced out a textbook Turn-Key Reversal, culminating with the February outside-month/2 Close Reversal lower…
Gold & Silver remain on divergent paths, particularly from a wave perspective. Both metals fulfilled multi-month cycle highs in late-October ’24 and entered very different corrective phases in preparation for a new impulse wave higher.
During the ensuing correction, Silver turned its weekly trend down – signaling a higher-magnitude peak was in place & a more complex correction should unfold.
Gold did not… and has recently surged to new highs, fulfilling its weekly uptrend…
Silver could ultimately match the duration of its wave II (May – Oct ’23) correction, as wave 4s (IV) and wave 2s (II) often ‘tend toward equality’… Silver could again adhere to the ‘90/10 Rule of Cycles’ – experiencing a large percentage of the latest decline near the end of the cycle…
On a larger cyclic basis, a Silver low in March/April ’25 would reinforce multi-year cycles peaking in March/April 2026, including a unique ~5-year cycle evolving since 2001 (and before).”
Gold remains bullish as Silver remains neutral, rallying in a likely ‘B’ wave advance that is projected to give way to a ‘C’ wave decline below its Dec ’24 low and back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK). A multi-month Silver low could/should stretch into April ’25 with the sharpest drop most likely in the final 1 – 2 weeks leading into that low.
Early-April ‘25 is also the time when a sharp stock market plunge could accelerate into a multi-month bottom. The final indexes – S+P 500 & NQ-100 – fulfilled their upside objectives on Feb 18/19th and quickly triggered weekly sell signals that reinforce the outlook for 20 – 25% plunges into early-April ’25 – with daily & weekly cycles most synergistic on April 3rd – 7th, ‘25.
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
Gold’s mid-November ’24 low created a third successive (higher) low and signaled the onset of a new 3 – 6 month advance – projected to last into late-April/early-May ‘25. The Dollar rallied into January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a projected major decline in 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is fulfilling its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 that could attack decisive support near 74,000/BTC before a bottom takes hold.
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