Gold Surge Reinforces 40-Year & 80-Year Cycles; Precede Iran Tensions.
01/04/20 INSIIDE Track: “Outlook 2020/2021 — Gold, Waves, & 90/10 Rule
Throughout 2018 – 2019, one of the primary topics of cyclic focus for late-2019 involved the Middle East & the 40-Year Cycle. More specifically, it involved an ominous collision of cycles for Turkey, Iran and Saudi Arabia.
Late-2019 was linked to events in late-1979 and portended – among other things – the onset of an extremely tense and tenuous time for US/Iran relations.
It appears as though the 40-Year Cycle did not disappoint. In 1977 – 1980, Iran’s upheaval was mostly from within. In 2017 – 2020, Iran’s upheaval is mostly from outside the country. Cycles rhyme but they do not repeat. To give a quick recap…
In 1977/1978, tensions built in Iran – leading to the overthrow of the Shah.
In 2017/2018, tensions built on Iran as Trump pushed for a rework of the Iran deal.
In Aug. 1978, Iranians crippled the economy with perpetual strikes and demonstrations.
In Aug. 2018, Iran’s economy was crippled with the onset of perpetual sanctions (and now some ‘strikes’).
In 4Q 1979, the US Embassy was attacked.
In 4Q 2019, the US Embassy was attacked.
In 1979, that led to escalating tensions and attacks throughout 1980 (coinciding with onset of the 8-year Iraq-Iran War in 1980 – 1988). In 1980, Qasem Soleimani began his military career as a commander in the Iran-Iraq War. In 2020, his career was ended… in Iraq.
There is a lot more to this intriguing 40-Year Cycle, including the possibility that 2020 – 2028 might see a unification of Iran & Iraq – both of whom now have a common enemy – the US.
Could that coincide with the 80-Year Cycle of War (2021)?
Could it play a role in Middle East Unification Cycles (2018 – 2021)?
Golden Omens
As described in the excerpt on page 2, the Elliott Wave** structure in Gold has been arguing for accelerated advances between mid-2019 and late-2020, dovetailing with projected cycles. [**See Elliott Wave explanation on page 10.] The latest signal came in mid-Dec. and – combined with the 90/10 Rule of Cycles – pinpointed the most likely time for an accelerated advance to be Jan. or Feb. ‘20.
On Dec. 9 – 13, Gold & Silver provided several intermediate signals that began to clarify the outlook for the final weeks of 2019 and early weeks of 2020. At that time, Silver spiked to new lows and fulfilled multiple weekly cycles (including 28-week & 7-week low-low-low Cycle Progressions) as Gold was signaling it had a larger multi-week rally to come.
The previous week, focus had begun to turn to the first 10 days of Jan. 2020 that could end up completing a new rally in Gold. As explained in the Dec. 7 Weekly Re-Lay, Gold needed to rally on Dec. 9 – 13 and close higher to signal an inversion of a 36-week low-low-low-low-(high) Cycle Progression and project a continued advance into early-Jan.
It did just that and triggered a new multi-week buy signal on Dec. 16 (see 12/14/19 Weekly Re-Lay)… When markets like Gold pinpoint the most likely time for an accelerated advance – even if only a 2 – 4 week surge – fundamental events often corroborate.
Such was the case with the recent escalation of tensions between the US & Iran – intensifying the conflicts that emerged in Dec. All of this reinforces the focus on 2021 – the next phase of the 80-Year Cycle of War. Stay tuned…”
Gold & Silver corroborate 40-Year Cycle analysis pertaining to Iran and the Middle East. Precious metals remain on track for overall advance into March 2020.
Is Gold Corroborating War Cycle Outlook for 2021?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.