July Roadmap: Stocks & Silver Pinpoint Path for Rallies into Late-July ‘25.
06-30-25 – Outlook 2025 – War Cycles & White Metals II
“Last month, the focus intensified on the outlook for War Cycles – and the value of ‘white metals’ – to surge during the middle months of 2025. Whether or not these are directly related (’coincidence does not mean causality’) matters little. All the cycles were projecting a strong amplification of their trends in June ’25.
It didn’t take long for powerful validation to emerge as the war between Iran & Israel – and ultimately the US -accelerated into a crescendo. That overlapped (and fulfilled) a pivotal cycle linked to the Six Day War in June 1967 & the subsequent election of Benjamin Netanyahu in 1996 – an intriguing cycle of ~29 years.
Saturn Return
While I am not a student of astrology, there are certain celestial cycles that have consistently timed related events in our world. In many ways, these cycles represent a return to a starting point… albeit on a higher or lower plane. (This corroborates the view that cycles are more like a spiral than a circle, moving through a 360-degree revolution but ending/beginning at a different point.)
Throughout the past ~30 years, INSIIDE Track has periodically discussed unique relationships between Saturn and Earth – an astronomical observation as opposed to an astrological one.
There is also a cyclic relationship involving an approximate 29-year cycle. That is the time it takes for Saturn to return to the same point (sign) in the sky after a full celestial revolution (cycle).
In modern astrology, the term ‘Saturn Return’ refers to a ~29-year cycle in a person’s life – starting at their birth and returning each time that Saturn returns to where it was at their birth – a full cycle of life, so to speak.
It is thought to time major life transitions – at ~29, ~58 & ~87 years of age. (I am not concerned with debating the adherence to that ‘belief’.)
A National ‘Saturn Return’?
However, there has been an intriguing 29-year cycle that has impacted the development & growth of the nation of Israel – dating back to the early-1800’s when the Perushim migrated (from Lithuania) to Palestine in great numbers to await the forecast coming of the Messiah (expected in 1840).
This, and related migrations of Jews from Algiers, Central Asia & Yemen in the 1800’s – 1860’s, reinforced that unique cycle. [This is not a religious or political discussion, just a cyclic one.]
This ~29-year cycle (or at least the more obvious phases of it) seemed to really take hold, however, in 1880 – when mass migration of Jews to Palestine resulted from Russian persecution (’pogroms’) in the 1880’s & coinciding European anti-Semitism.
1850’s – 1880 (~29 years) – European and Middle East Jews actively discuss larger migration to Palestine in response to growing persecution.
1880’s ushered in the first ‘Aliyah’ of European, Russian & N. African Jews to Palestine and solidified the early stages of the Zionist movement.
~29 years later, in 1909, Tel Aviv (then called Ahuzat Bayit; now the capital of Israel) was founded by Jewish settlers. This was also the middle of the Second Aliyah of Jews to Palestine. (By 1914, over 60,000 Jews lived in Palestine.)
In 1938, ~29 years later, the Holocaust began. While this was devastating to Jews in Germany & Europe, it ultimately led to the founding of Israel.
In 1967, 29 years later, Israel fought the Six Day War in June 1967, after Egypt had announced the closing of the Straits of Tiran to all Israeli vessels in May 1967 and expelled UN ‘peace keepers’ (UNEF) in violation of 1949 Armistice Agreements.
At the time, Egypt quickly amassed troops on the border and signed a defense pact with Jordan as Jordan invited Iraqi troops & armored divisions into their country to prepare for impending conflict.
In an eerie foreshadowing of June 2025, Israel launched a surprise attack on Egypt in June 1967 and quickly gained major air superiority after taking out much of Egypt’s defense capability. As a result, Israel won this war in less than a week.
[From a geographical perspective, this resulted in Israel expanding its territory – a type of ‘growth’.]
In June 1996, 29 years from the onset of the Six Day War, Benjamin Netanyahu became the prime minister of Israel ushering in a political shift that has remained… and which played a significant role in the latest conflict – ~29 years later. (This followed the Nov. ‘95 assassination of Yitzhak Rabin.)
June 2025 (~29 years later) – Israel attacks Iran and decimates air defenses, missile production and military hardware – while initially attacking nuclear facilities and ultimately leading to the US bombing of Iran’s three main nuclear enrichment plants.
Culmination & Commencement
Cycles time endings and cycles time beginnings. A cycle never ends… it just keeps evolving. In many cases, the transition from one phase of a given cycle into the next phase is the most volatile.
2025 is proving to be just that!
2025 is the culmination of the latest phase of the 80-Year Cycle of War (late-2021 – late-2025) and the onset of a new phase.
2025 is also the culmination and commencement of this unique 29-Year Cycle in Israel and the Middle East (the two are often synonymous).
2025 – 2029 is likely to be a momentous time!
Metals & Military Action
Throughout May & early-June ‘25, market cycles projected a major shift on June 11 – 16th… with related analysis discussing the relationship to potential armed conflict.
Gold, Silver, Platinum and stock indexes were all forecast to surge into June 11 – 13th and then reverse lower on June 16th – a precursor to, and validation of, War Cycle events.
As described prior to that time, the 90/10 Rule of Cycles was describing the likelihood for accelerated moves into June 11 – 13th – the projected culmination of intermediate moves in all those prescient markets and the most likely time for related fundamentals to coincide with that crescendo.
On June 13th, Israel launched surprise attacks on Iranian military & nuclear installments as well as air defense facilities (that had already been severely compromised in a previous bombardment). At the same time, Gold, Silver & Stock Indexes culminated strong rallies… and retreated.
Coincidence?
The period leading into mid-June ‘25 was one focal point & the period leading into early-August ‘25 is another – a full 80 years from dramatic global/war events that marked the culmination of World War II.
In between lies an annual period that is prone to significant spikes in geophysical activity – the middle part of July. With volcanic cycles projected to intensify in the next 1 – 2 years, this time frame should be monitored closely… with related cycles impacting Asia & Europe. Many markets are also focused on early-July ’25 for trouble. More to follow…
Stock Indices have rallied sharply from their early-April ’25 lows – lows that fulfilled a myriad of cycles and downside wave/price targets and projected, in most cases, a rally back to the highs. That early-April fulfillment included the latest phase of the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Peaks & Sell-offs (of 20 – 30% or more).
The April ’25 lows fulfilled the convergence of diverse cycles & Cycle Progressions that included an 18/19-month low-low-(low) Cycle Progression, related ~2-Year Cycles, and annual cycles that timed repeated multi-month lows in a 2 – 3 week window of time. It also perpetuated the nearly-ubiquitous ~8-month cycle in equities.
From a price perspective, the early-April ‘25 low fulfilled a myriad of multi-week, multi-month & multi-quarter downside objectives while simultaneously fulfilling the 3 – 6 month (17-Year Cycle-related) outlook for ~20 – 30% declines into early-April.
The price patterns & technical indicators triggered at that time (early-April ‘25) are the primary focus for the subsequent advance. Range targets (see chart on page 5) concurred. First and foremost, several indexes projected rallies back to – and above – their late-2024/early-2025 all-time highs.
That was discussed throughout April and corroborated by the wave structure in key indexes like the DJIA – that projected an additional new high… This wave structure remains intact in the DJIA (and other indexes) – projecting new highs. The monthly trend indicator concurs. Other factors, like the S+P Midcap range target illustrated above, are ushering in a pivotal time now.
One potential scenario, ushered in after stocks set multi-week highs in mid-June but could not elevate them, is for stocks to initially peak on July 1 – 3rd, pull back, and then rally into late-July ’25 – the recurrence of a ~35-week/~8-month high-high-high-(high; July 21 – 25, ‘25) Cycle Progression…
Gold & Silver remain mixed with Gold continuing to validate the significance of the late-April ’25 cycle high and fulfill the near-term outlook for a drop to 3244 – 3267/GCQ. While fulfilling those downside targets, Gold tested its rising weekly 21 High MAC – a pivotal level of ascending support, currently near 3280/GCQ.
Gold would need to give a weekly close below that level to elevate its latest sell-off to a higher magnitude. Until that occurs, it remains in a weekly (and monthly) uptrend and on track tor ultimate new highs leading into late-2025 – in sync with its ~6-month Cycle Progression.
Intermediate cycle highs, in late-July/early-August ‘25, could corroborate future cycle highs in late-Oct/early-Nov ‘25.
Meanwhile, Silver remains bullish and on track for a surge above 39.00/SI as part of its current advance from early-April. Last week, it pulled back and attacked weekly support while precisely fulfilling a ‘wave 4 = wave 2’ structure with two successive corrections of ~2.20/SIU each (April 23 – May 15 & June 18 – 24th).
That ushered in the time for a new rally – reinforced by Silver’s daily trend pattern – the likely ‘wave 5’ of its overall (initial) advance from the early-April ‘25 cycle low. From a broader perspective, Silver is still targeting a multi-month rally (from early-April) to 39.50 – 40.10/SIU, where 4 of the latest 5 monthly LHRs converge.
Silver also has a pair of range-trading targets at 39.50 – 40.00/SI that reinforce this upside target (~28.50 low – ~34.10 high – ~39.70/SIU & ~28.50 low – ~32.25 low – ~36.00 high – ~39.75/SIU high).
Silver’s recent low fulfilled projections for a multi-week low to take hold on June 24th (+ or – 1 trading day) – the latest phase of a ~5-week/38-day low-low-low-(low) Cycle Progression and it’s trading-day equivalent, a 27 trading day low-low-low-(low; June 24, ’25) Cycle Progression.
As long as that low holds, Silver should rally for at least half of the ensuing cycle – into mid-July. A more ideal scenario would have Silver rallying into July 18 – 22nd (2/3 of that daily cycle) – the same time that Gold encounters a ~3-month cycle high – and potentially into July 30th (a full cycle).
Of added (cyclic) interest, the late-June low also arrived at the midpoint of an over-arching 10 – 11-week/~76-day low (July ’24) – low (Oct ’24) – low (Dec ’24) – low (Feb ’25) – low (May 15, ’25) – (high; ~July 30, ’25) Cycle Progression.
From a timing perspective, Silver set a low in April ’25 – fulfilling broader geometric cycles that include a move of 180 degrees from its Oct ’24 peak and – looking forward – a low that is ~360 degrees prior to major cycle highs in ~April 2026.
In the interim, it was/is projected to surge into late-July and then into late-Oct/early-Nov ’25 – all linked to these uncanny geometric cycles.
That could be linked to developing inflation, global competition for critical metals and minerals, and the tech-related needs of the new economy. The outlook remains that Gold & Silver are in broader bullish trends and their outlook remains positive.
Gold & Silver perpetuated a ~7-year low (4Q ‘01) – low (4Q ‘08) – low (4Q ‘15) – low (4Q ‘22) Cycle Progression in Oct ‘22 and have been projected to undergo a multi-year advance into 2026/2027.
The XAU & HUI pulled back into late-June with the XAU dropping right to weekly support and nearly spiking down to its weekly HLS while the HUI did spike below its weekly HLS, fulfilling its related downside target, signaling an imminent low.
That recent spike low could have fulfilled an ‘a-b-c’ correction in these indexes with the XAU bottoming right at the level of its mid-April ’25 peak (199.41) – a pivotal level of resistance turned into support and range-trading support.
It has also allowed the projected June ’25 peak to hold for a few weeks, reinforcing the outlook for higher highs – and a more significant peak – in October ’25… 4 months later.
A high in Oct ’25 would also fulfill a ~1-year/~12-month low (Oct ’23) – high (Oct ’24) – (high; Oct ’25) Cycle Progression and a corroborating ~10-month high (April ’23) – low (Feb ’24) – low (Dec ’24) – (high; October ’25) Cycle Sequence.
Ultimately, the XAU remains targeted for a retest of its late-2010 peak near 233.00/XAU. That coincides with other (non-correlated, but corroborating) upside targets in the same vicinity. One of those has to do with range-trading targets and has been discussed throughout recent months…
In mid-April ‘25, the XAU was projected to peak near 199.00/XAU – a decisive level of range-trading resistance that linked previous range parameters (since 2023) at ~103 – ~135 – ~167 – ~199/XAU. As explained at the time, the next target – following a daily & weekly close above 199.00/XAU – would be 231/XAU.
That remains the case.
In many (most) cases, a market will break above range resistance and initially spike higher – but not to the subsequent upside range target – and then drop back to test the breakout point (199.00/XAU) before resuming its advance. That is often referred to as the trend’s ‘test of strength’.
The XAU just did that, reinforcing these range parameters and increasing the likelihood for a surge above 230.00/XAU in the foreseeable future (potentially in July ‘25).
Reinforcing that, the monthly LHR for June ‘25 (extreme upside target that applies for 2 months) was at 235.74/XAU and the monthly HHR for July ‘25 is at 232.18/XAU. (At the very least, the series of lows since Feb ‘25 – near 150, 175 & 200/XAU – form a multi-week range target near 225.00/XAU.)
Platinum continues to surge, powerfully validating and fulfilling projections for a major bull market in white metals to begin on April 7 – 11, ‘25… and ultimately last into April/May 2026.
If that is fulfilled, Platinum would complete a 50% rebound in time (12 years down/6 years up) and fulfill the latest phase of a ~5-year high (2011) – high (2016) – high (2021) – (high; 2026) Cycle Progression that parallels the Silver outlook.
Palladium triggered higher-magnitude buy signals in the first half of June, reinforcing its outlook for a major advance along with Platinum & Silver.
On a longer-term basis, Palladium was/is expected to enter a new bull market in April 2025 and stretch that into 3Q 2026 – when the next multi-year peak appears most likely.
A peak in 3Q ‘26 would fulfill a ~5.25-year low-low-low-high-(high) Cycle Progression as well as a .618 rebound in time (39-month decline followed by 24-month rally).
Throughout May & June ‘25, Weekly Re-Lay Alerts have focused on this unique opportunity – repeatedly emphasizing why early-April 2025 ushered in a decisively-bullish period – based on cycles AND a myriad of price & timing indicators – that should spur a powerful bull market in white metals.
On June 18th & 25th, those Alerts stressed how & why Palladium was ready to accelerate higher in late-June and join Platinum in a breakout bull market. It quickly validated that outlook and has powerfully confirmed the broader outlook.” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK!
Stock Indexes are convincingly fulfilling projections for surges to new all-time highs after confirming multi-month bottoms in early-April ’25 – when they fulfilled major 1 – 2-year downside price targets and related 17-Year Cycle analysis for 2025 (projected 20 – 30+% plunges). A myriad of monthly indicators projected subsequent rallies to new all-time highs – with multi-month cycle highs focused on late-July ‘25.
Silver, Platinum & Palladium fulfilled ongoing forecasts for major lows in early-April, triggering convincing buy signals that were followed by powerful surges. Silver is targeting a rally above 39.50/SI while Platinum is projected to reach ~1500/PL, at a minimum. The XAU & HUI fulfilled projections for rallies into mid-June but are poised for opposing lows in the near future. Rallies into August ’25 should follow.
Why Did Key Indexes Project New All-Time Highs?
How Significant are Late-July ’25 Cycle Highs in Stocks & Silver?
What Does Projected Silver/White Metals’/XAU Surge Portend?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.