Magnificent 7 Stocks Concur; Early-April Lows Completed Stock Market Sell-off!
04/29/25 – The year 2025 has been forecast to time a host of dramatic ’shifts’ – many linked to the uncanny 17-Year Cycle. That cycle is closely connected to the magnetic swings in and between the Sun & Earth – corroborated by several scientific discoveries of the past two decades.
As such, it has an oversized impact on mass emotional & psychological swings on Earth. That is what technical analysis is based on – measuring trends and shifts in mass psychology (as reflected in the markets).
In recent years, INSIIDE Track described why 4Q 2024 (17 years from the 4Q 2007 peak in the stock market) should usher in another major peak in equity markets and trigger 20 – 50% declines in 2025. (See https://www.
The Nov & Dec ‘24 issues – as well as each one since then – explained why the Russell 2000, S+P Midcap 400 & DJTA were projected to set final peaks on November 22/25, 2024 and then lead a 3 – 6 month decline. They all peaked on Nov 25, ‘24!
In January ‘25, those same indexes were projected to set secondary peaks on January 22/23rd – when a myriad of intermediate cycles and key technical indicators converged. They peaked on January 22, ‘25 and entered their wave ‘3’ declines – with the ideal time for a future multi-month low in focus…
‘Shadow Casting’
As 2025 began to unfold, the focus turned to late-March/early-April ’25 as the most likely time for the culmination of an initial 3 – 6 month plunge – a plunge that was forecast to fulfill the minimum 17-Year Cycle-related declines. If fulfilled, that would ‘cast shadows ahead’ to future cycles in 2025/2026.
In late-February – after the NQ-100 retested its peak & triggered corroborating sell signals – it became clear that stocks should plummet 20 – 25% by early-April as the remaining indexes signaled multi-month peaks. To reiterate from the March 2025 INSIIDE Track (and surrounding publications):
2-28-25 – “2025 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last major decline in the stock market (not including the ~2-month Covid plunge of 1Q 2020)…
2025 is two full 17-Year Cycles from the start of the 1990’s bull market in stocks – a run-up that culminated with the dot-com bubble in the late-1990’s.
2025 is three full 17-Year Cycles from the start of the late-20th century bull market in stocks that began in 1974, had a major correction at its midpoint (1987), and peaked in early-2000.
2025 is 7 full 17-Year Cycles from the stock market peak of January 1906, which was followed by the Panic of 1907 and a ~2-year decline of 50% (which looks remarkably similar in magnitude & duration to the 1973/1974 ~50% crash).
All of that, and much more, reinforces the impact of the 17-Year Cycle – a cycle that is intimately connected to the magnetic swings in the Sun, Earth and the geomagnetic oscillations between the two…
Déjà vu?
The 2020’s possess some eerie similarities to the 1920’s and the 1990’s. Of course, history never repeats… it only rhymes. No one should ever expect a carbon copy of what took place in the past.
In all three cases, specific sectors of the market became exorbitantly overvalued.
And, in each case, there were derivatives created to keep the party going and allow the most inexperienced and uninformed ‘investors’ to jump in near the top – exacerbating the impact of the ensuing decline… The more things change, the more they stay the same!…
Stock Indices are steadily confirming the peaks set in many indexes in November ’24. That fulfilled the latest phase of the 17-Year Cycle of Stock Market Peaks – setting multi-month highs in 4Q 2024 – that portends (at least) a 20 – 30% decline from those peaks…
The DJTA has gone through a textbook reversal sequence on many levels, including its weekly 21 MAC indicator. That index could easily drop back to ~13,500… where secondary lows were set in March – October ‘23, fulfilling a ~25% decline… Monthly HLS levels and the monthly 21 Low MAC & 21 High MARC show that could occur as soon as March/April 2025.
The NQ-100, which retested its high and fulfilled its weekly trend pattern, signaled a peak on February 18/ 19th and could see a multi-month drop to ~17,800/NQ – the point at which a 20% decline would reach fruition…
The NQ-100 is another index where the monthly 21 Low MAC & monthly HLS levels identify March/April ‘25 as an ideal time for that target/support to be reached and a multi-month low to take hold.” — March ’25 (2/28/25) INSIIDE Track
Almost every index continued to reinforce projections for at least 20 – 25% declines in the first half of 2025 with the overwhelming majority showing that objective would likely be met by/in early-April 2025.
Daily & weekly cycles corroborated this outlook – pinpointing the first week of April as the ideal time for that initial low to take hold. So, what transpired?
Initial Fulfillment
Stock Indices precisely fulfilled those projections, plunging in spectacular fashion while reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a majority of a price move occurs at the end of a cycle in a blow-off type decline).
Daily, weekly & inter-month cycles identified April 3rd/4th/7th as the 3-day period with the greatest synergy of cycles for a multi-week bottom (the Weekly Re-Lay detailed this analysis in advance).
The DJTA, which had been described as being in a more bearish setup (and which has never returned to the high it set in Nov 2021), was projected to see a larger decline and reached the 30% decline threshold in sync with those cycle lows.
On an arithmetic basis, the DJTA generated the largest 3 – 6 month decline in its history – further validating this uncanny 17-Year Cycle.
Its ~5,300/DJTA point plunge is larger than the 2022 plunge… larger than the 2020 plunge… and larger than the late-2018 plunge.
The S+P Midcap 400 has been a leading index in this sell-off and attacked its third downside range target – the target for 2Q 2025 – near 2575/IDX (see chart on page 5, updated from similar IDX Range-Trading Target charts published in 4Q 2024).
It was forecast to drop right to its initial target (~3125/IDX) in late-2024 and to its primary 3 – 6 month downside range target (~2850/IDX) in mid-March. After fulfilling both of those downside range targets, the IDX rallied into March 25th – when it also turned lower as the new Natural Year began.
That projected a retest of its ~2850/IDX range support and – whenever that was ultimately broken – a plunge to the next range target at ~2575/IDX. The S+P Midcap attacked that objective (2575/IDX) on April 7th, reinforcing the potential for a significant bottom on April 3 – 7th.
‘Magnificent’ Stocks
Some of the leading – and most closely followed – stocks also fulfilled this 17-Year Cycle analysis. As of April 7, 2025, these are a few of the results:
TSLA – Down 56% from Dec ‘24 peak.
NVDA – Down 43% from Nov ‘24/Jan ’25 peak.
AMD – Down 56% from Oct ‘24 peak.
AAPL – Down 35% from Dec ‘24 peak.
META- Down 35% from Feb ‘25 peak.
AMZN – Down 33% from Feb ‘25 peak.
MSFT – Down 24% from Dec ‘24 peak.
MU – Down 46% from Sept/Oct ‘24 peaks.
GOOGL – Down 32% from Feb ‘25 peak.
Magnificent Cycles
Most indexes set their intraday lows on April 7th after fulfilling a myriad of downside objectives. On a monthly chart basis, all the indexes had traced out the ideal sequence for an impending multi-month low with their April 3/4th plunges…
When a market is heading into a low (daily, wkly or monthly), it will usually accelerate to a HLS level, hit and hold that level on the close of that period, and then spike down to the LLS in the subsequent period – when a more significant low is most likely.
On a monthly basis, almost every major index accomplished that after plunging to monthly HLS levels in March ’25 and setting the stage for a drop to the monthly LLS in April, when a multi-month bottom would be most likely.
Those LLS levels came into play at 38,222/DJIA, 5165/ESM, 17,267/NQM, 2637/IDX, 1824/QRM & 12,750/DJTA. (This was described repeatedly in the Weekly Re-Lay before the lows were set.)
All of these were tested on April 4th – in the midst of the ideal time for an early-April low – setting the stage for a final spike low on April 7th.
That was corroborated by a myriad of timing indicators focused on April 3 – 7th, including a DJIA ~9-week/~2-month low-high-high-high-high-high-
In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (the same cycle that timed a series of highs in the S+P Midcap, culminating on Nov 22/25, ’24 and projecting this 4 – 5-month plunge) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123d low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle – projecting a bottom on April 7th.
A low on April 3rd/4th/7th would perpetuate a geometric ~1-month/~90-degree cycle that already timed lows in the first 3 – 5 trading days of August, Sept, Oct & Nov ’24 (with a contrasting high set in early-Dec ’24) and Feb ’25.
Stocks fulfilled the potential for a very significant bottom on April 3 – 7th after reaching all those downside price targets. They were/are expected to rebound to their late-March ‘25 highs – 4th wave of lesser degree resistance in most of them.
The following is an additional reason why INSIIDE Track publications have continued to project a major stock market top in 4Q 2024 and a sharp (20 – 25% minimum) plunge to occur in 2025:
2025/2026 is a full 17-Year Cycle from the last significant recession in the US… and has been projected (since 2023) to time the next major recession – making this cycle accurate 13 of the 14 times it has recurred since the founding of America (1940/1941 was the only exception).
Stocks typically discount events like this months in advance… increasing the likelihood for a 2025 recession (that could ultimately morph into stagflation in line with ongoing analysis).” TRADING INVOLVES SUBSTANTIAL RISK
Stock Indexes are powerfully reinforcing analysis for surges to new all-time highs after confirming multi-month bottoms in early-April ’25 (April 3, 4 & 7th possessed greatest synergy of cycles for completing 20 – 30% projected plunges) while fulfilling major downside price targets and related 17-Year Cycle analysis for 2025. Decisive objectives were fulfilled with the early-April ’25 lows – indicating a major bottom!
Their monthly trend patterns, monthly 21 MACs & MARCs, monthly (and weekly) cycles, monthly downside objectives & 6 – 12 month support levels all argue for powerful rallies that catapult key indexes up to new all-time highs in the coming months. The (perceived) multi-year wave structure is arguing for the same. The extent of declines in ‘Magnificent 7’ and related tech stocks corroborated the ongoing outlook that early-April ’25 would complete a major sell-off and usher in a decisive bottom.
Metals are corroborating as Silver (along with Platinum & Palladium) fulfilled ongoing forecasts for major lows in early-April, triggering revealing buy signals that were followed by powerful surges. Meanwhile, Gold rallied into the days surrounding April 19th (Date of Aggression) – and was/is expected to set a 2 – 3 month peak at that time.
Why is April 4th/7th Bottom Likely To Spur Rallies to New All-Time Highs?
How are Monthly Trend & Monthly 21 MACs Reinforcing Projected Lows?
How Does Outlook for MAJOR Surge in White Metals Concur?
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.