Silver in 1 – 2 Week Danger Period; Platinum & Palladium Prep for April ’25 Reversals Higher.
04-02-25 – “The Gauntlet”
INSIIDE Track has often described the first ‘month’ of the Natural Year (~March 19th – April 19th) as a time of great sacrifice. It has been discussed with respect to all of the battles and attacks that coincide – often culminating in the days surrounding the Date of Aggression (April 19th). This period – the start of Spring – is described in the Old Testament as ‘the time when kings went off to war’.
It appears 2025 is repeating the pattern.
As of today, the long-awaited gauntlet has been thrown down and a modern-day war – a trade war – has been initiated (or escalated). The question for the markets is now a simple one:
Will the markets prefer certainty over uncertainty?
Is the newly-revealed certainty better or worse than the fears generated in the midst of prior uncertainty?
Is this the lesser of two evils… or the greater?
The next 1 – 2 days could go a long way in revealing how the markets will digest this news…
The Dollar Index… projected a multi-day reactive sell-off (since the daily trend reversal is a lagging & confirming indicator that usually times an initial peak) with the Dollar Index targeted to test [reserved for subscribers]…
On a longer-term basis, the January ’25 peak is corroborating the potential for a 2025 sell-off AND the possibility for a 6 – 12 month or multi-year low to take hold in late-2025/early-2026.
The Euro rallied to its weekly LHR (1.0969/ECM), mimicking the monthly LHR test of March ’25 that was validated on the March 31st close… it could still stretch a peak into ~mid-April…
Gold & Silver remain positive with Gold remaining in daily, weekly, monthly & yearly uptrends (rallying to new highs in what is likely a wave ‘5’ of ‘5’ a 5-wave advance from its Nov ‘25 low) while Silver is showing signs of peaking on a daily & weekly basis.
Silver remains in a ~6-month trading range and has neutralized its weekly downtrend twice – ushering in a pivotal time when a 1 – 2 month peak is more likely… congestion remains in force in Silver as it has since the October ’24 peak.
Silver’s wave structure from its Feb 28th low was arguing for a culminating wave ‘v’ rally from the March 21st low. In many cases, the waves ‘1’ & ‘5’ ‘tend toward equality’ – providing a key upside wave target that was fulfilled by Silver on March 28th. That reinforces the potential for a new downturn in Silver.”
Gold & Silver are reinforcing divergent wave structures with both fulfilling the near-term outlook for a late-March rally. Silver remains under the influence of its weekly downtrend, projecting a ‘C’ wave decline back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK) before a multi-month correction is complete. Late-March ushered in a vulnerable 1 – 2 week period that has been discussed the past 1 – 2 months. That is also in sync with cycles and the outlook for two other white metals – Platinum & Palladium.
They are entering the month (April ‘25) and approaching the week (April 7 – 11, ’25) when cycles and multiple corresponding timing AND price indicators are expected to turn bullish and reinforce the ongoing outlook for a Major surge in Platinum (and likely Palladium also) in 2025… projected to take hold in April ’25. Palladium is showing that a final spike low remains possible before that occurs.
The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum is on the cusp of a Major advance, stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!”
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
The Dollar peaked in January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a sharp (projected) decline in 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has fulfilled its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 that could still spike down to decisive support near 74,500/BTC before a bottom takes hold.
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