Silver & Platinum Leading (Projected) MAJOR Rallies!

05-21-25 – 2025: The Platinum/White Metals’ Year – “The April 5th 2025 Weekly Re-Lay set the stage for a MAJOR shift in the (precious) white metals as Platinum and Palladium had entered the month (April 2025) with the greatest chance for a reversal higher and the onset of a new 3 – 6 month and 6 – 12 month accelerated advance.  As stated then:

4-05-25 – Platinum & Palladium dove to their late-2024 lows after Platinum failed to turn its daily trend up.  Both metals have a better chance of seeing key intermediate indicators turn positive in April but that will likely take 2 – 3 weeks before they are in the optimum position for that shift.

Platinum has been trading in a narrowing range for over 3 years, since its March ‘22 peak spurred a sell-off into its Sept ‘22 low.  On a continuous-contract basis, Platinum has not exceeded that March ‘22 high or dropped below that Sept ‘22 low. 

It subsequently set a lower high in April ’23 and an ensuing higher low in Nov ‘23.  That was followed by a rally into a lower high in May ‘24 and a drop to a higher low in Dec ‘24.

Platinum turned its weekly trend down, which could spur a spike below the Dec ’24 low.  While that would still likely maintain the narrowing trading range, it would show the decline from May ’24 needed another spike low before it was/is complete. 

On a broader basis, both metals maintain the setup for a much stronger advance in 2025 (into 2026). 

That would be initially validated if they set lows in the first half of April and rally into early-May ’25 – the next phase of the ~3-month/~90-degree cycle (and midpoint of a related ~6-month/180-degree cycle) that helped pinpoint the early-Feb ’25 peak. 

Palladium has just matched the duration of its previous ~9-week decline and would not turn its daily trend down until a daily close below 905.0/PAM.  That sets up April 7th as a pivotal & decisive day.”

 

Along with Silver, those other white metals were poised for an April 7th spike low and the start of a much larger and more significant rally – in line with cyclic analysis for April ’25 – April ’26.

The subsequent action of April 7 – 11th powerfully fulfilled downside objectives – particularly in Silver – while generating convincing buy signals in those white metals.  The April 9, ’25 Alert stated:

4-09-25 – “Gold & Silver sold off with Silver finally fulfilling what it signaled in Dec ’24… 

That began a multi-month period of divergence – on different levels – with Gold projecting a surge to new highs in 1Q ’25 as Silver portended ongoing congestion and a rally to a lower high.

Silver’s wave structure identified the post-Dec rally as a likely ‘B’ wave advance that would ultimately give way to a ‘C’ wave decline with a downside target below the mid-Dec ’24 low… 

Silver was expected to find its most significant support near 27.60/SIK – 4th wave of lesser degree support – and likely set a 3 – 6 month (or longer) bottom near that level… the downside target that has been described since the late-October ’24 peak.

Silver reached 27.54/SIK on April 7th – fulfilling these major downside targets – and now has a very good chance of beginning a new wave higher… 

Silver fulfilled the outlook to mirror the duration of its largest previous decline (22 – 23 weeks) and set the stage for a major low in April 2025 – 180 degrees from its Oct ’24 peak and ~360 degrees prior to major cycles that peak in ~April 2026.”  

 

The April 12, ’25 Weekly Re-Lay elaborated on that and updated Platinum & Palladium analysis:

4-12-25 – “Gold & Silver bottomed immediately after Silver fulfilled what it signaled in Dec ’24… Silver peaked in lockstep with its weekly trend pattern and reversed lower during the week after its weekly 21 MAC had turned down (late-March). 

It quickly fulfilled the minimum downside target for this ‘C’ wave decline – dropping below the mid-Dec low while matching the magnitude of its ‘A’ wave decline (Oct – Dec ’24 decline).  It was projected – as it has been since Nov ’24 – to find its most significant support (and likely bottom) near 27.60/SIK.

That was/is Silver’s 4th wave of lesser degree support and is the price level where Silver had been projected to most likely set a 3 – 6 month (or longer) bottom. 

Silver spiked down to 27.54/SIK – fulfilling all of its 2 – 4 week, 1 – 3 month & 3 – 6 month downside objectives – and immediately reversed higher…

Leading into this past week, Gold had three weekly HLS levels (downside extreme targets) at 2940 – 2993/GCM, with the most recent two – the ones that hold the strongest applicability – at 2940 – 2980/GCM. 

Gold quickly spiked down to 2970/GCM and bottomed in the middle of monthly support.

A new paradigm shift could be imminent, in which Silver begins to recover as Gold begins to peak… at least for a few months.

Gold & Silver plunged to pivotal support levels and bottomed on April 7th with both attacking monthly support (Silver attacked extreme downside targets at 27.60/SIK) and fulfilling their intra-month downtrends as Gold repeated its pattern of sharp 3 – 5 (trading) day declines… the 4th consecutive one since its mid-Nov ’24 multi-month bottom.

Their April 7th lows also fulfilled their respective daily & weekly trend patterns – reinforcing the outlook for April ’25 correction lows… 

Platinum & Palladium spiked to new intra-year lows… while validating timing indicators focused on April 7th for a low.  In sync with intermediate cycles, the ideal scenario was that they set lows in the first half of April.”

 

Platinum reinforced its April 7th low when it generated an outside-week/2 Close Reversal buy signal on May 5 – 9th. That was corroborated when Platinum generated a daily 2 Close Reversal Combo buy signal on May 15th, projecting a sharper rally into late-May.  To reiterate…

5-17-25 – “…there is still impending upside potential that could stretch a rally into late-May when Platinum has a ~3.5-month high-high-(high) Cycle Progression culminating.

That would also complete three successive 6 – 7 week advances and allow Platinum’s latest rally to match the preceding decline.  (That timing symmetry would take on greater significance if Platinum created similar price symmetry and rallied back to ~1070/PLN, its preceding high.) 

Weekly closes above 1032/PLN & 1009/PAM are needed to provide convincing signs of a multi-month low and the onset of a larger-magnitude (likely 3 – 6 month) advance.”   — May 17, ’25 Weekly Re-Lay

 

Platinum has just surged to its highest level since May 2024 – fulfilling the 1 – 2 week outlook for a surge to 1070/PLN or higher.  All of this is powerfully validating the outlook for 2025 to be The Platinum Year – providing the ‘golden’ (or platinum) trading opportunity for 2025.

Recent action is convincingly confirming the outlook for 2025/2026 and the paradigm shift that has been forecast to unfold in April ’25 – April ’26.  Hold on tight!

Gold & Silver sold off into mid-month & bottomed with Gold fulfilling primary expectations for a ‘c’ wave drop that would reach multiple downside targets and the convergence of 3 (out of 4) weekly HLS levels with the most recent and most applicable weekly HLS at 3123/GCM.

Gold spiked down to 3123/GCM (attacking the that convergence of 3 weekly HLS levels while retracing .618 of its most recent surge) and quickly surged from that level.  .

While dropping precisely to 3123/GCM, Gold also fulfilled a symmetrical ‘c = a’ wave correction – with the ‘c’ wave equaling the ‘a’ wave in both price and time. It has since rallied and twice neutralized the daily downtrend.

It would take a daily close above 3327/GCM to turn the daily trend up and confirm a multi-week low.

Silver has remained resilient and merely retested its month-opening low without closing below it (as Gold was dropping to new correction lows and fulfilling its ‘c’ wave objective).  That kept Silver in a relatively tight ~5-week range while setting a ‘2’ wave pullback of a (potential) developing new 5-wave advance.

Silver did not turn its intra-month trend down, reinforcing underlying strength and projecting a new rally in the second half of May ‘25

Silver has already rallied and closed back above its early-May ’25 high and its flattening daily 21 High MAC – two potentially bullish signals that could spur a new advance… Silver continues to angle its weekly 21 MAC upward and could generate a related bullish signal with a weekly close above ~33.75/SIN.

With Silver perfectly fulfilling its ~4-month outlook – while spiking down to ~27.60/SI on April 7th – it remains in a potentially bullish wave structure that is still expected to spur a new multi-month advance into Oct/Nov ’25 (and ultimately into ~April 2026).

The XAU & HUI sold off into mid-month with both indexes dropping to their weekly HLS levels (extreme weekly downside target) and Oct ’24 highs – pivotal ranges of multi-week support in both – while retracing 50% of their April surge.

They held those levels on the weekly close while setting the stage for an Intra-Month V Reversal higher (high at start of month, low at mid-month, new high toward end of month).

The XAU remains on track for an overall advance into the middle part of June ’25 – an outlook that has been repeatedly reinforced by intervening price action.

One of the corresponding cycles is a 21 – 22-week high-high-low-low-low-(low; Dec 23 – Jan 3, ’25) Cycle Progression that perfectly timed the Dec 30, ’24 low & projected an overall advance into June ’25.

Daily cycles & Cycle Progressions show that peak could stretch into the second half of June ’25 and fulfill a ~3-month low-high-(high) Cycle Progression as well as a 37 – 38-day low-low-low-(high) Cycle Progression.”


Gold & Silver have rallied since retreating into mid-May and fulfilling the ideal time for a multi-week low to take hold (and a much larger advance in Silver & Platinum to begin).  While Gold remains below multi-month cycle highs fulfilled in late-April, Silver is building a base and preparing to surge after fulfilling multi-month cycle lows and downside objectives in early-April.  That coincided with the outlook for Platinum & Palladium to enter bullish cycles on April 7 – 11th and surge – on balance – into June ’25.

 

Recent action also reinforces the 17-Year Cycle impact on Silver and corroborates the outlook for a MAJOR uptrend in white metals following April ’25 cycle lows…

17-Year Cycle & Silver: April ’25 Low

 

The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum was/is on the cusp of a Major advance (along with Silver & Palladium), stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!”  The first phase of that was/is expected to be a sharp rally into the next phase of Platinum’s ~5-week cycle on June 9 – 13, ’25.

 

The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar.  Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow (into at least 2025/2026 and potentially longer)…

Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins

Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation

 

April 2025 ushered in a new and reinforcing phase of this overall shift and could be the first phase of major rallies in key metals (Platinum & Palladium) and the next phase for Gold & Silver.  It also ushered in the time (April – August ’25) when War Cycles could produce some unexpected surprises.

 

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