Silver, Platinum & Palladium Enter Pivotal Day on April 7th! Prep for April ’25 Reversals Higher.
04-05-25 – “Stock indexes have initially fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for overall declines into late-March/early-April with most indexes projected to lose 20 – 25% in that time period. They are also tracing out a textbook monthly chart scenario for an impending low (test HLS, then LLS) – reinforcing the pivotal nature of cycle lows on April 3 – 7th… The Dollar, Euro & Yen extended their 1Q ’25 trends, which are nearing extremes. Gold & Silver sold off sharply with Silver initially fulfilling its post-Dec ’24 outlook for new lows…
Stock Indices are culminating their latest decline in spectacular fashion, reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a majority of a price move occurs at the end of a cycle). Since the start of 2025, the focus has been on March/April – and more specifically on late-March/early-April ’25 – as the most likely time for the culmination of multi-month stock plunges.
As described in February & March, stocks had a high potential to fulfill (minimum) 17-Year Cycle projections – for 20 – 25% declines – by/in April ’25 when an initial bottom was/is most likely. On a monthly chart basis, they have also traced out the ideal sequence for an impending multi-month low…
That was corroborated by a myriad of timing indicators focused on April 3 – 7… In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (same cycle that projected the IDX Nov 22/25, ’24 peak) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123-day low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle… A low on April 3rd/4th/7th would perpetuate a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree low-low cycle that already timed lows in 5 of the last 8 months…
Gold & Silver remain divergent with Silver finally fulfilling what it signaled in Dec ’24…
At the time, Silver turned its weekly trend down after Gold had failed to do the same thing. That began a multi-month period of divergence – on different levels – with Gold projecting a surge to new highs in 1Q ’25 as Silver portended ongoing congestion and a rally to a lower high.
Silver’s wave structure identified the post-Dec rally as a likely ‘B’ wave advance that would ultimately give way to a ‘C’ wave decline with a downside target below the mid-Dec ’25 low. Silver adhered to that outlook and was only able to twice neutralize its weekly downtrend during the subsequent 1Q ’25 rally.
Meanwhile, Gold was tracing out a 5-wave advance from its mid-November low – a low that fulfilled multiple downside objectives including the matching of its largest previous decline (~260.0/GC) and ushered in the latest surge.
Since late-February, Gold has also traced out a 5-wave advance as part of that larger-magnitude 5th wave (of the 5-wave advance from Nov ’24).
Silver peaked in lockstep with its weekly trend pattern and reversed lower during the week after its weekly 21 MAC had turned down. It has already fulfilled the minimum downside target for this ‘C’ wave decline – dropping below the mid-Dec low while matching the magnitude of its ‘A’ wave decline (Oct – Dec ’24 decline).
Silver could still see some additional downside but has 3 – 6 month support near 27.60/SIK – its 4th wave of lesser degree support.
From a timing perspective, Silver has fulfilled the potential to mirror the duration of its largest previous decline (22 – 23 weeks) and set the stage for a major low in April 2025 – 180 degrees from its Oct ’24 peak and ~360 degrees prior to major cycles that peak in ~April 2026…
Platinum & Palladium dove to their late-2024 lows after Platinum failed to turn its daily trend up. Both metals have a better chance of seeing key intermediate indicators turn positive in April but that will likely take 2 – 3 weeks before they are in the optimum position for that shift.
Platinum has been trading in a narrowing range for over 3 years, since its March ‘22 peak spurred a sell-off into its Sept ‘22 low. On a continuous-contract basis, Platinum has not exceeded that March ‘22 high or dropped below that Sept ‘22 low.
It subsequently set a lower high in April ’23 and an ensuing higher low in Nov ‘23. That was followed by a rally into a lower high in May ‘24 and a drop to a higher low in Dec ‘24.
Platinum turned its weekly trend down, which could spur a spike below the Dec ’24 low. While that would still likely maintain the narrowing trading range, it would show the decline from May ’24 needed another spike low before it was/is complete.
On a broader basis, both metals maintain the setup for a much stronger advance in 2025 (into 2026).
That would be initially validated if they set lows in the first half of April and rally into early-May ’25 – the next phase of the ~3-month/~90-degree cycle (and midpoint of a related ~6-month/180-degree cycle) that helped pinpoint the early-Feb ’25 peak.
Palladium has just matched the duration of its previous ~9-week decline and would not turn its daily trend down until a daily close below 905.0/PAM. That sets up April 7th as a pivotal & decisive day.”
Gold & Silver are reinforcing divergent wave structures with both fulfilling the near-term outlook for a late-March rally. Silver remains under the influence of its weekly downtrend, projecting a ‘C’ wave decline back to its early-Aug ’24 low (~27.60/SIK) before a multi-month correction is complete. Late-March ushered in a vulnerable 1 – 2 week period that has been discussed the past 1 – 2 months. That is also in sync with cycles and the outlook for two other white metals – Platinum & Palladium.
They are entering the month (April ‘25) and approaching the week (April 7 – 11, ’25) when cycles and multiple corresponding timing AND price indicators are expected to turn bullish and reinforce the ongoing outlook for a Major surge in Platinum (and likely Palladium also) in 2025… projected to take hold in April ’25. Palladium is showing that a final spike low remains possible before that occurs.
The April ’25 INSIIDE Track detailed why Platinum is on the cusp of a Major advance, stating: “This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025!”
The 40-Year Cycle of Currency War continues to impact Gold and its relationship to the US Dollar. Gold fulfilled major cycles in Sept/Oct 2022 when it perpetuated a 7-Year Cycle of consistent lows (2001 – 2008 – 2015 – 2022) that coincided with the onset of a new 40-Year Cycle of Currency War AND 80-Year Cycle of War and projected a multi-year bull market to follow…
Outlook 2022/23: A New Currency War Begins
Outlook 2023: A New Currency War & Inflation
The Dollar peaked in January ’25 – fulfilling its 3 – 4 month outlook and ushering in the time for a sharp (projected) decline in 2025. Meanwhile, Bitcoin fulfilled its related outlook for a major sell-off in 1Q 2025 and is preparing for a multi-month bottom.
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