Silver, Platinum & Palladium Signal Impending Lows; Poised for April ’25 Reversals Higher.
04-05-25 – “Stock indexes have initially fulfilled the 3 – 6 month outlook for overall declines into late-March/early-April with most indexes projected to lose 20 – 25% in that time period. They are also tracing out a textbook monthly chart scenario for an impending low (test HLS, then LLS) – reinforcing the pivotal nature of cycle lows on April 3 – 7th… Gold & Silver sold off sharply with Silver initially fulfilling its post-Dec ’24 outlook for new lows…
Stock Indices are culminating their latest decline in spectacular fashion, reinforcing the impact of the 90/10 Rule of Cycles (in which a majority of a price move occurs at the end of a cycle). Since the start of 2025, the focus has been on March/April – and more specifically on late-March/early-April ’25 – as the most likely time for the culmination of multi-month stock plunges.
As described in February & March, stocks had a high potential to fulfill (minimum) 17-Year Cycle projections – for 20 – 25% declines – by/in April ’25 when an initial bottom was/is most likely. On a monthly chart basis, they have also traced out the ideal sequence for an impending multi-month low…
That was corroborated by a myriad of timing indicators focused on April 3 – 7… In the S+P 500, that ~8-month cycle (same cycle that projected the IDX Nov 22/25, ’24 peak) split into a symmetrical ~4-month/123-day low (Aug 5) – high (Dec 6) – (low; April 4/7th) cycle… A low on April 3rd/4th/7th would perpetuate a geometric ~1-month/~30-degree low-low cycle that already timed lows in 5 of the last 8 months…
Gold & Silver remain divergent with Silver finally fulfilling what it signaled in Dec ’24…
At the time, Silver turned its weekly trend down after Gold had failed to do the same thing. That began a multi-month period of divergence – on different levels – with Gold projecting a surge to new highs in 1Q ’25 as Silver portended ongoing congestion and a rally to a lower high.
Silver’s wave structure identified the post-Dec rally as a likely ‘B’ wave advance that would ultimately give way to a ‘C’ wave decline with a downside target below the mid-Dec ’25 low. Silver adhered to that outlook and was only able to twice neutralize its weekly downtrend during the subsequent 1Q ’25 rally.
Meanwhile, Gold was tracing out a 5-wave advance from its mid-November low – a low that fulfilled multiple downside objectives including the matching of its largest previous decline (~260.0/GC) and ushered in the latest surge.
Since late-February, Gold has also traced out a 5-wave advance as part of that larger-magnitude 5th wave (of the 5-wave advance from Nov ’24).
Silver peaked in lockstep with its weekly trend pattern and reversed lower during the week after its weekly 21 MAC had turned down. It has already fulfilled the minimum downside target for this ‘C’ wave decline – dropping below the mid-Dec low while matching the magnitude of its ‘A’ wave decline (Oct – Dec ’24 decline).
Silver could still see some additional downside but has 3 – 6 month support near 27.60/SIK – its 4th wave of lesser degree support.
From a timing perspective, Silver has fulfilled the potential to mirror the duration of its largest previous decline (22 – 23 weeks) and set the stage for a major low in April 2025 – 180 degrees from its Oct ’24 peak and ~360 degrees prior to major cycles that peak in ~April 2026…
Platinum & Palladium dove to their late-2024 lows after Platinum failed to turn its daily trend up. Both metals have a better chance of seeing key intermediate indicators turn positive in April but that will likely take 2 – 3 weeks before they are in the optimum position for that shift… a broader basis, both metals maintain the setup for a much stronger advance in 2025 (into 2026).
That would be initially validated if they set lows in the first half of April and rally into early-May ’25 – the next phase of the ~3-month/~90-degree cycle (and midpoint of a related ~6-month/180-degree cycle) that helped pinpoint the early-Feb ’25 peak.
Palladium has just matched the duration of its previous ~9-week decline and would not turn its daily trend down until a daily close below xxx.0/PAM. That sets up April 7th as a pivotal & decisive day.”
3-26-25 WR Alert – “This period – usually from March 20 to April 19/20th – marks a very important transition period… It is an annual time to watch for signs of ‘change’ on many levels… April 19/20th acts like a deadline for determining what to expect in the coming (Natural) year… Silver remains in a ~6-month trading range… with the prevailing potential for a retest of its December ’24 low.”
3-29-25 INSIIDE Track – “Gold & Silver are in broader bullish trends and their outlook remains positive. Gold & Silver perpetuated a ~7-year low (4Q ‘01) – low (4Q ‘08) – low (4Q ‘15) – low (4Q ‘22) Cycle Progression in October ‘22 and have been projected to undergo a multi-year advance into 2026 or later…
Platinum triggered some intriguing – and potentially very bullish – signals… This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025! Platinum is on the cusp of turning its monthly 21 High MAC up… for the first time since October ‘23… it would generate a very bullish confirmation signal that would likely reverberate for 6 – 12 months to follow…
Platinum could rally into 2026 – a 50% rebound in time (12 years down/6 years up) and the latest phase of a ~5-year high (2011) – high (2016) – high (2021) – (high; 2026) Cycle Progression that parallels the Silver outlook. With Platinum closing the week at 996/PLN, it is a good place for traders to be adding to long positions…
Palladium remains above its August ‘24 low and in a constructive weekly trend pattern… Its weekly 21 MAC is also nearing the time (April 7 – 11, ‘25) when a reversal higher would become much easier to achieve… Palladium is expected to enter a new bull market in 2025 and stretch that into 3Q 2026 – when the next multi-year peak appears most likely.”
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.