Silver Reinforcing Major Low; Platinum Nearing Buy Signal Confirmation.
04-26-25 – “Gold & Silver surged into the middle half of April with Gold likely fulfilling its potential for a 1 – 2 month high on April 14 – 25th – the time when a consistent 23 – 24-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression came back into play. Gold also fulfilled a recurring intra-year pattern…
In that annual ~360-degree cycle, Gold has set a multi-week or multi-month peak in the middle part of April – in sync with the Week of Aggression (April 12 – 19th) and/or the Date of Aggression (April 19th) – a time when tensions, conflict and/or safe haven ‘needs’ often culminate.
(Twice it has subsequently spiked above those highs about a month later, setting a final intraday high in May, so that is not out of the question.)
Gold fulfilled the potential for a blow-off top in line with Natural Year ‘opening month’ analysis (portending an initial surge into ~April 19th as an omen of what could follow in 2025).
That provides some guidance for the coming months – in sync with the intra-year outlook for 2025 (rally into late-April/early-May and then rally into Nov ’25) even as it times an initial peak.
That is in lockstep with analysis for another abrupt shift in the ongoing currency battle between paper (fiat), hard (metals), and digital (cryptos) currency.
Bitcoin – and stocks – had already set multi-week lows in early-April and were waiting on Gold & the Dollar Index to complete their recent moves. That likely occurred this past week.
It was also in sync with the ~7-Year Cycle analysis of Gold discussed over the past ~two years. Each time, that analysis has described how Gold’s 2022 – present advance is mirroring key timing aspects of its 2015 – 2020 advance.
In that previous bull market, Gold initially surged into the middle part of 2016 (after bottoming in 4Q 2015) and then set a subsequent peak in April 2018… that held for over a year.
In the current bull market, Gold bottomed in 4Q 2022 (7 years later), initially surged into the middle part of 2023 (7 years later) and was poised to peak in the middle part of April 2025 – 7 years after the April 2018 peak.
That also may have just occurred.
The last few months’ action has reinforced the growing divergence between Gold & Silver. Gold has just set new all-time highs within a couple weeks of Silver setting new intra-year and ~6-month lows. Even as they rally and decline at similar times, the magnitudes of those corresponding moves are widely disparate.
Silver’s early-April low reached (and bottomed at) its ongoing downside target near 27.60/SIK, fulfilling projections for a ‘C’ wave decline that have been the focus since Dec ‘24.
From a timing perspective, it set a low in April ’25 – fulfilling broader geometric cycles that were/are expected to foreshadow a future peak in ~April 2026.
Silver fulfilled analysis for a surge into April 24/25th and came within 1 day of geometric cycles converging on ~April 28th, the recurrence of a ~1-month/~30-degree low (Jan 27) – low (Feb 28) – high (Mar 28) – (high; ~April 28th) Cycle Progression. That could spur a retracement into early-May…
Platinum & Palladium initially fulfilled the outlook for lows in the first half of April and a subsequent rally into early-May ‘25 – the next phase of the ~3-month/~90-degree cycle (and midpoint of a related ~6-month/180-degree cycle) that helped pinpoint the early-Feb ’25 peak.
However, Platinum just rallied into a ~5-week high-high-high-(high) Cycle Progression and is hesitating. It would take daily closes above the recent highs to confirm the early-April lows and project higher prices into early-May and beyond.”
3-29-25 INSIIDE Track – “Gold & Silver are in broader bullish trends and their outlook remains positive. Gold & Silver perpetuated a ~7-year low (4Q ‘01) – low (4Q ‘08) – low (4Q ‘15) – low (4Q ‘22) Cycle Progression in October ‘22 and have been projected to undergo a multi-year advance into 2026 or later…
Platinum triggered some intriguing – and potentially very bullish – signals… This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025! Platinum is on the cusp of turning its monthly 21 High MAC up… for the first time since October ‘23… it would generate a very bullish confirmation signal that would likely reverberate for 6 – 12 months to follow…
Platinum could rally into 2026 – a 50% rebound in time (12 years down/6 years up) and the latest phase of a ~5-year high (2011) – high (2016) – high (2021) – (high; 2026) Cycle Progression that parallels the Silver outlook. With Platinum closing the week at 996/PLN, it is a good place for traders to be adding to long positions…
Palladium remains above its August ‘24 low and in a constructive weekly trend pattern… Its weekly 21 MAC is also nearing the time (April 7 – 11, ‘25) when a reversal higher would become much easier to achieve… Palladium is expected to enter a new bull market in 2025 and stretch that into 3Q 2026 – when the next multi-year peak appears most likely.”
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.