Silver Validating Likely Multi-Month Low; White Metal Bull Market into April 2026!
04-09-25 – “Gold & Silver sold off with Silver finally fulfilling what it signaled in Dec ’24… At the time, Silver turned its weekly trend down after Gold had failed to do the same thing. That began a multi-month period of divergence – on different levels – with Gold projecting a surge to new highs in 1Q ’25 as Silver portended ongoing congestion and a rally to a lower high.
Silver’s wave structure identified the post-Dec rally as a likely ‘B’ wave advance that would ultimately give way to a ‘C’ wave decline with a downside target below the mid-Dec ’24 low.
Silver adhered to that outlook and was only able to twice neutralize its weekly downtrend during the subsequent 1Q ’25 rally… reinforcing the likelihood for a drop below its mid-Dec ’24 low.
Meanwhile, Gold was tracing out a 5-wave advance from its mid-November low – a low that fulfilled multiple downside objectives including the matching of its largest previous decline (~260.0/GC) and ushered in the latest surge.
Since late-February, Gold has also traced out a 5-wave advance as part of that larger-magnitude 5th wave (of the 5-wave advance from Nov ’24).
Silver peaked in lockstep with its weekly trend pattern and reversed lower during the week after its weekly 21 MAC had turned down (late-March).
It has already fulfilled the minimum downside target for this ‘C’ wave decline – dropping below the mid-Dec low while matching the magnitude of its ‘A’ wave decline (Oct – Dec ’24 decline).
Silver was expected to find its most significant support near 27.60/SIK – 4th wave of lesser degree support – and likely set a 3 – 6 month (or longer) bottom near that level. That is also the downside target that has been described since the late-October ’24 peak.
Silver reached 27.54/SIK on April 7th – fulfilling these major downside targets – and now has a very good chance of beginning a new wave higher from that support.
From a timing perspective, Silver fulfilled the outlook to mirror the duration of its largest previous decline (22 – 23 weeks) and set the stage for a major low in April 2025 – 180 degrees from its Oct ’24 peak and ~360 degrees prior to major cycles that peak in ~April 2026…
The XAU & HUI sold off and neutralized their weekly uptrend after fulfilling the potential for a late-March peak. The XAU surged to the convergence of monthly resistance and extremes (178.20 – 179.60/ XAU) and set a multi-week top at that time.
It rallied for more than half of the latest phase of its 21 – 22-week high-high-low-low-low-(low; Dec 23 – Jan 3, ’25) Cycle Progression, reinforcing the next phase should be a peak – on June 2 – 6, ’25.
That also set the stage for a multi-week drop with initial support near 150 – 151.00/XAU… It is rallying after spiking below its rising weekly 21 AND 40 High MACs – a potential bullish development.”
3-26-25 WR Alert – “This period – usually from March 20 to April 19/20th – marks a very important transition period… It is an annual time to watch for signs of ‘change’ on many levels… April 19/20th acts like a deadline for determining what to expect in the coming (Natural) year… Silver remains in a ~6-month trading range… with the prevailing potential for a retest of its December ’24 low.”
3-29-25 INSIIDE Track – “Gold & Silver are in broader bullish trends and their outlook remains positive. Gold & Silver perpetuated a ~7-year low (4Q ‘01) – low (4Q ‘08) – low (4Q ‘15) – low (4Q ‘22) Cycle Progression in October ‘22 and have been projected to undergo a multi-year advance into 2026 or later…
Platinum triggered some intriguing – and potentially very bullish – signals… This could be one of the ‘golden’ (or is that ‘platinum’) trading opportunities of 2025! Platinum is on the cusp of turning its monthly 21 High MAC up… for the first time since October ‘23… it would generate a very bullish confirmation signal that would likely reverberate for 6 – 12 months to follow…
Platinum could rally into 2026 – a 50% rebound in time (12 years down/6 years up) and the latest phase of a ~5-year high (2011) – high (2016) – high (2021) – (high; 2026) Cycle Progression that parallels the Silver outlook. With Platinum closing the week at 996/PLN, it is a good place for traders to be adding to long positions…
Palladium remains above its August ‘24 low and in a constructive weekly trend pattern… Its weekly 21 MAC is also nearing the time (April 7 – 11, ‘25) when a reversal higher would become much easier to achieve… Palladium is expected to enter a new bull market in 2025 and stretch that into 3Q 2026 – when the next multi-year peak appears most likely.”
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.