Solar Cycle 25: From Drought to Deluge (Cycles).
Outlook 2022/2023 – The Curse
10-29-22 –
Climate Cycles
In the mid-2010’s, INSIIDE Track described a convergence of longer-term climate cycles portending a culminating global warming in the late-2010’s and early-2020’s – leading into a multi-year peak. [NOTE: I am NOT a climatologist or meteorologist. This conjecture is simply based on cycle analysis.]
After a couple decades of fairly level global temperatures, the late-2010’s/early-2020’s fulfilled that outlook. That is also when a Food Crisis was forecast to take hold – driving the price of grains and other commodities substantially higher. 2023/24 is when cycles project a bit of a shift after reaching new extremes. One of those shifts could be seen in the West (as goes CA, so goes the US??)…
Based on analysis of a consistent 6-Year Cycle, a Sunspot-related 11 – 12-Year Cycle and a ~40-Year Cycle, I expect California and other parts of the West to see an abrupt turnaround in precipitation during the 2022-23 & 2023-24 rainy seasons (’water years’).
In recent decades, heavy rain years arrived in 2017 (highest total since records began), 2011, 2005, 1998, & 1993. 6, 12, 18, 24 & 30 years from those spikes pinpoint 2022/23 as a prime candidate for increased precipitation – based on a 6-Year Cycle.
Looking back over the past ~80 years, the water years of 1941, 1952, 1963, 1974, 1986, 1998 & 2011 produced surges in precipitation – averaging about 35% above the annual average amount.
2022/23 & 2023/24 are the next phase in this ~11/12-Year Cycle.
That is also when a 40-Year Cycle comes back into play – linked to increased rainfall in the early-1900’s, early-1940’s & early-1980’s, following extreme dry years in each of the preceding decades.
Following the 1976 year of extreme drought, 1982 – 83 saw consecutive water years of extreme precipitation – combining to create the greatest 2-year period of rain since records began in the late-1890’s.
Could 2022/23 or 2023/24 repeat this pattern and perpetuate that 40-Year Cycle?
Related El Nino cycles focus on 2023/24 for another chance for increased precipitation… based on cycle analysis. That is another factor in this analysis.
Since 2023 is the year with the greatest synergy of cycles related to major solar storms, the next 12 – 18 months could see some abrupt shifts in climate-related events, even if that is only temporary.”
Solar Cycle 25 is coinciding with seismic shifts (literally and metaphorically) in 2021 – 2025 while fulfilling analysis for equity markets to peak in early-2022 and enter a 1 – 2 year decline and related analysis in interest rates & inflation (inflation forecast to surge from mid-2020 into 3Q ’22 while interest rates are forecast to rise from 3Q ’20 into 2Q ’23), in geopolitical turmoil (War Cycles projected for late-2021 – late-2025), and geophysical instability (earthquake cycles rising/coinciding with volcanic cycles colliding in 2022 – ’24).
This type of instability often coincides with major conflicts so it is no surprise that Middle East/Israel War Cycles collide in 2023 as well. Alpide Belt earthquakes could coincide, with particular focus on Turkey & Iran. Reinforcing that, Solar/Sunspot Cycles pinpoint 2023 as the most likely time for a major, disruptive solar storm – cyclically linked to many of the most intense solar storms of the past ~200 years. (2024 is the second most likely time, with the potential for disruptive solar storms in both years.)
Refer to latest Weekly Re-Lay & INSIIDE Track publications for additional details and/or related trading strategies.